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30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?

Event Group
EventKALSHI

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?
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Vol

202 contracts

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Markets

15

Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.35% on Oct 21, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(15)
MarketOutcome price
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.35% on Oct 21, 2026?
Yes 93.0%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.37% on Oct 21, 2026?
Yes 88.0%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.39% on Oct 21, 2026?
Yes 77.5%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.41% on Oct 21, 2026?
Yes 64.5%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.43% on Oct 21, 2026?
Yes 46.0%

Event Overview

On Oct 21, 2026 If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (15)

Sort
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.35% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.35% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.35% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome93.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.37% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.37% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.37% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome88.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.39% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.39% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.39% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome77.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.41% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.41% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.41% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome64.5%
Yes
Volume2 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.43% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.43% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.43% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome46.0%
Yes
Volume100 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.45% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.45% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.45% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome27.0%
Yes
Volume100 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.47% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.47% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.47% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome14.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.51% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.51% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.51% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome6.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.49% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.49% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.49% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome6.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.53% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.53% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.53% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome3.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.55% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.55% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.55% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome2.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.57% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.57% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.57% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome1.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.59% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.59% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.59% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome1.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.63% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.63% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.63% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.61% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.61% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.61% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details

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