On Nov 6, 2026 If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
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Market snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.
15 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Outcome price |
|---|---|
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.65% on Nov 6, 2026? | Yes 70.0% |
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.67% on Nov 6, 2026? | Yes 64.0% |
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Nov 6, 2026? | Yes 59.0% |
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.71% on Nov 6, 2026? | Yes 53.0% |
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.73% on Nov 6, 2026? | Yes 47.0% |
On Nov 6, 2026 If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.65% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.67% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.69% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.71% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.73% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.75% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.77% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.79% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.81% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.83% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.85% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.87% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.89% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.91% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.93% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.