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5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?

Event Group
EventKALSHI

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?
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Vol

991 contracts

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Markets

15

Market snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.65% on Oct 30, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(15)
MarketOutcome price
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.65% on Oct 30, 2026?
Yes 93.5%
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.67% on Oct 30, 2026?
Yes 93.0%
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Oct 30, 2026?
Yes 91.0%
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.71% on Oct 30, 2026?
Yes 88.0%
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.73% on Oct 30, 2026?
Yes 84.0%

Event Overview

On Oct 30, 2026 If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (15)

Sort
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.65% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.65% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.65% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome93.5%
Yes
Volume200 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.67% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.67% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.67% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome93.0%
Yes
Volume113 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.69% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome91.0%
Yes
Volume233 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.71% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.71% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.71% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome88.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.73% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.73% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.73% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome84.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.75% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome78.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.77% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome70.0%
Yes
Volume53 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.79% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome62.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.81% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.81% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.81% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome55.0%
Yes
Volume6 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.83% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.83% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.83% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome45.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.85% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome36.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.87% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome28.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.89% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome21.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.91% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome15.0%
Yes
Volume119 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.93% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome12.5%
Yes
Volume267 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details

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