On Oct 15, 2026 If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.
1.8K contracts
15
1.8K contracts
15
Market snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.
15 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Outcome price |
|---|---|
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Oct 15, 2026? | Yes 95.0% |
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% on Oct 15, 2026? | Yes 93.0% |
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Oct 15, 2026? | Yes 70.5% |
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% on Oct 15, 2026? | Yes 46.5% |
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% on Oct 15, 2026? | Yes 19.0% |
On Oct 15, 2026 If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.85% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.87% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.89% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.91% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.93% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.95% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.97% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.99% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.03% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.01% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.13% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.11% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.09% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.07% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.05% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.