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5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026?

Event Group
EventKALSHI

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026?

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026?
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Vol

254 contracts

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Markets

15

Market snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 20, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(15)
MarketOutcome price
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 20, 2026?
Yes 99.5%
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 20, 2026?
Yes 98.5%
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 20, 2026?
Yes 97.5%
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.81% on Oct 20, 2026?
Yes 96.0%
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.83% on Oct 20, 2026?
Yes 94.5%

Event Overview

On Oct 20, 2026 If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (15)

Sort
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.75% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume26 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.77% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome98.5%
Yes
Volume26 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.79% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome97.5%
Yes
Volume26 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.81% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.81% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.81% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome96.0%
Yes
Volume26 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.83% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.83% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.83% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome94.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.85% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome94.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.87% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome89.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.89% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome75.5%
Yes
Volume100 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.91% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome71.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.93% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome58.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.95% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome42.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.97% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome28.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.99% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome17.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.01% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome9.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.03% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome4.5%
Yes
Volume50 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details

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