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5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?

Event Group
EventKALSHI

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?
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Vol

377 contracts

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Markets

15

Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.80% on Oct 21, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(15)
MarketOutcome price
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.80% on Oct 21, 2026?
Yes 97.0%
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Oct 21, 2026?
Yes 95.5%
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Oct 21, 2026?
Yes 94.0%
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% on Oct 21, 2026?
Yes 93.5%
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.88% on Oct 21, 2026?
Yes 87.5%

Event Overview

On Oct 21, 2026 If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (15)

Sort
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.80% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.80% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.80% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome97.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.82% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome95.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.84% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome94.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.86% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome93.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.88% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.88% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.88% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome87.5%
Yes
Volume10 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.90% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome77.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.92% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome62.5%
Yes
Volume100 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.94% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome48.0%
Yes
Volume17 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.96% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome31.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.98% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome18.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.00% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome9.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.02% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume250 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.04% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome5.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.06% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome3.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.08% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome2.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details

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