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5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 22, 2026?

Event Group
EventKALSHI

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 22, 2026?

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 22, 2026?
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Vol

295.37 contracts

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Markets

15

Market snapshot: Oct 22, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.80% on Oct 22, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(15)
MarketOutcome price
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.80% on Oct 22, 2026?
Yes 96.5%
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Oct 22, 2026?
Yes 95.0%
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Oct 22, 2026?
Yes 93.0%
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% on Oct 22, 2026?
Yes 91.5%
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.88% on Oct 22, 2026?
Yes 86.0%

Event Overview

On Oct 22, 2026 If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 22, 2026, or one week following Oct 22, 2026.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (15)

Sort
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.80% on Oct 22, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.80% on Oct 22, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.80% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 22, 2026, or one week following Oct 22, 2026.

Yes outcome96.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 24, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Oct 22, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Oct 22, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.82% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 22, 2026, or one week following Oct 22, 2026.

Yes outcome95.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 24, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Oct 22, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Oct 22, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.84% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 22, 2026, or one week following Oct 22, 2026.

Yes outcome93.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 24, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% on Oct 22, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% on Oct 22, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.86% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 22, 2026, or one week following Oct 22, 2026.

Yes outcome91.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 24, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.88% on Oct 22, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.88% on Oct 22, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.88% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 22, 2026, or one week following Oct 22, 2026.

Yes outcome86.0%
Yes
Volume20.37 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 24, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% on Oct 22, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% on Oct 22, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.90% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 22, 2026, or one week following Oct 22, 2026.

Yes outcome76.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 24, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% on Oct 22, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% on Oct 22, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.92% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 22, 2026, or one week following Oct 22, 2026.

Yes outcome64.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 24, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% on Oct 22, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% on Oct 22, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.94% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 22, 2026, or one week following Oct 22, 2026.

Yes outcome51.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 24, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% on Oct 22, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% on Oct 22, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.96% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 22, 2026, or one week following Oct 22, 2026.

Yes outcome35.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 24, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% on Oct 22, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% on Oct 22, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.98% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 22, 2026, or one week following Oct 22, 2026.

Yes outcome23.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 24, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% on Oct 22, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% on Oct 22, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.00% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 22, 2026, or one week following Oct 22, 2026.

Yes outcome14.5%
Yes
Volume100 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 24, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% on Oct 22, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% on Oct 22, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.02% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 22, 2026, or one week following Oct 22, 2026.

Yes outcome8.5%
Yes
Volume25 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 24, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Oct 22, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Oct 22, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.04% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 22, 2026, or one week following Oct 22, 2026.

Yes outcome5.0%
Yes
Volume150 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 24, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% on Oct 22, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% on Oct 22, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.06% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 22, 2026, or one week following Oct 22, 2026.

Yes outcome4.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 24, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% on Oct 22, 2026?

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% on Oct 22, 2026?

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.08% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 22, 2026, or one week following Oct 22, 2026.

Yes outcome2.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 24, 2026
View Details

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