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7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026?

Event Group
EventKALSHI

7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026?

7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026?
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Vol

2.8K contracts

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Markets

25

Market snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

25 markets tracked

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 15, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(25)
MarketOutcome price
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 15, 2026?
Yes 99.5%
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 15, 2026?
Yes 99.5%
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 15, 2026?
Yes 99.5%
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.81% on Oct 15, 2026?
Yes 99.5%
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.83% on Oct 15, 2026?
Yes 99.5%

Event Overview

On Oct 15, 2026 If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (25)

Sort
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.75% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume26 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.77% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume26 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.79% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume26 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.81% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.81% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.81% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume26 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.83% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.83% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.83% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume26 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.85% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume26 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.87% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume26 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.89% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume26 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.91% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome98.0%
Yes
Volume26 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.93% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome96.5%
Yes
Volume147 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.95% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome92.5%
Yes
Volume626.6 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.97% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome82.0%
Yes
Volume940.2 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.99% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome47.0%
Yes
Volume144.13 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.01% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome26.5%
Yes
Volume358 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.03% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome6.5%
Yes
Volume131 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.05% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome4.5%
Yes
Volume105 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.07% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome2.0%
Yes
Volume100 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.09% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome1.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.11% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome1.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.23% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.23% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.23% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.21% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.21% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.21% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.19% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.19% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.19% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.17% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.17% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.17% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume20 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.15% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.13% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume25 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details

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