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7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?

Event Group
EventKALSHI

7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?

7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?
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Vol

261 contracts

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Markets

15

Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% on Oct 21, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(15)
MarketOutcome price
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% on Oct 21, 2026?
Yes 97.0%
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% on Oct 21, 2026?
Yes 95.0%
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% on Oct 21, 2026?
Yes 92.5%
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% on Oct 21, 2026?
Yes 88.0%
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% on Oct 21, 2026?
Yes 80.5%

Event Overview

On Oct 21, 2026 If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (15)

Sort
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.90% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome97.0%
Yes
Volume1 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.92% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome95.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.94% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome92.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.96% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome88.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.98% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome80.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.00% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome68.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.02% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome48.5%
Yes
Volume100 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.04% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome34.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.06% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome26.0%
Yes
Volume100 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.08% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome11.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.10% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome6.5%
Yes
Volume60 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.12% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome6.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.14% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome4.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.16% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.16% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.16% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome3.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.18% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.18% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.18% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome1.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details

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