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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Montana?

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EventKALSHI

What will JD Vance say during his rally in Montana?

What will JD Vance say during his rally in Montana?
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Vol

0.31 contracts

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Markets

26

Market snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

26 markets tracked

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Economy / Economic)

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(26)
MarketOutcome price
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Economy / Economic)
Yes 43.0%
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (China / Chinese)
Yes 38.5%
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (2028 / Campaign)
Yes 32.5%
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Fraud)
Yes 32.0%
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Afford / Affordable / Affordability)
Yes 30.0%

Event Overview

JD Vance - Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 If JD Vance says X / Y as part of Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external, official, transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases, e.g. names, titles, etc. JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify, e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (26)

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KALSHIPolitics
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Economy / Economic)

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Economy / Economic)

If JD Vance says Economy / Economic as part of Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome43.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (China / Chinese)

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (China / Chinese)

If JD Vance says China / Chinese as part of Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome38.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (2028 / Campaign)

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (2028 / Campaign)

If JD Vance says 2028 / Campaign as part of Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome32.5%
Yes
Volume0.07 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Fraud)

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Fraud)

If JD Vance says Fraud as part of Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome32.0%
Yes
Volume0.06 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Afford / Affordable / Affordability)

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Afford / Affordable / Affordability)

If JD Vance says Afford / Affordable / Affordability as part of Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome30.0%
Yes
Volume0.06 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime)

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime)

If JD Vance says Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime as part of Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome27.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Drill / Drilling)

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Drill / Drilling)

If JD Vance says Drill / Drilling as part of Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome27.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Illegal Alien)

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Illegal Alien)

If JD Vance says Illegal Alien as part of Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome26.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Inflation)

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Inflation)

If JD Vance says Inflation as part of Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome26.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Healthcare)

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Healthcare)

If JD Vance says Healthcare as part of Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome26.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Manufacture / Manufacturing)

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Manufacture / Manufacturing)

If JD Vance says Manufacture / Manufacturing as part of Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome25.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Made in America / American Made)

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Made in America / American Made)

If JD Vance says Made in America / American Made as part of Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome25.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Biden)

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Biden)

If JD Vance says Biden as part of Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome25.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (American Dream)

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (American Dream)

If JD Vance says American Dream as part of Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome25.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Farm / Farmer)

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Farm / Farmer)

If JD Vance says Farm / Farmer as part of Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome24.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)

If JD Vance says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome24.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Small Business)

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Small Business)

If JD Vance says Small Business as part of Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome23.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Social Security)

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Social Security)

If JD Vance says Social Security as part of Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome23.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (America First)

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (America First)

If JD Vance says America First as part of Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome23.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Nuclear)

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Nuclear)

If JD Vance says Nuclear as part of Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome22.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Working Class / Middle Class)

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Working Class / Middle Class)

If JD Vance says Working Class / Middle Class as part of Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome19.0%
Yes
Volume0.08 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Oil / Gas / Gasoline)

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Oil / Gas / Gasoline)

If JD Vance says Oil / Gas / Gasoline as part of Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome18.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Border)

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Border)

If JD Vance says Border as part of Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome13.0%
Yes
Volume0.04 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Tariff)

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Tariff)

If JD Vance says Tariff as part of Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome8.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Radical Left)

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Radical Left)

If JD Vance says Radical Left as part of Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome8.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Event does not qualify)

What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Event does not qualify)

If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Belgrade, Montana originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome4.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details

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