
Will there be a successful vote of no confidence in France in 2026?
If there is a successful vote of no confidence in the French parliament before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A motion of censure counts only if the Assemblée nationale adopts it. A government-initiated confidence vote counts only if the Assemblée refuses to grant confidence; a confidence vote that the Government wins does not count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
