What is the current price for "Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?"?

The leading outcome "Yes" is currently trading at 87.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?"?

There are 4 markets available for this event on Polymarket.

What is the trading volume for "Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $18K.

BackPPOLYMARKET

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

Yes88%

Vol$17.69K

Markets4

88%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

Event Group

EventPOLYMARKET

Single EventPOLYMARKETTech

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

Name: Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?
Start: 2026-10-12T08:33:57.832Z
End: 2027-06-30T23:59:00.000Z

Part of: Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Meta Muse Spark model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization,

YesLeading Yes Probability

88%

VolTotal Volume

$17.69K

Markets

Ends

Jun 30, 2027

in 9 months

Trade on Polymarket

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

Yes

88%

Vol

$17.69K

Markets

Trade

Market Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?

polymarket

No data available

All Markets(4)

Market	Price
Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?	88%
Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?	76%
Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	46%
Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	19%

Markets (4)

Sort

POLYMARKETTech

Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?

Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?

Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?

Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

Market Price Graph

Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (4)

Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?

Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?

Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?

Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?

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