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Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of October 20, 2026

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Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of October 20, 2026

Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of October 20, 2026
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$0

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Markets

40

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Market snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

40 markets tracked

Will Arkansas have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

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All Markets(40)
MarketOutcome price
Will Arkansas have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
Yes 96.5%
Will Idaho have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
Yes 96.0%
Will Colorado have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
Yes 95.5%
Will Mississippi have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
Yes 95.5%
Will Nevada have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
Yes 92.5%

Event Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed state that has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". States appear only during the months in which they plausibly reach D4, so this event's roster changes through the year. 40 of the 48 coterminous states are in season for October: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming. A state absent from this event is not making any claim about that state's drought — it simply has no market this week. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Polymarket uses UMA protocol for dispute resolution when necessary
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Polymarket

Markets (40)

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POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Arkansas have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Arkansas have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arkansas has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Arkansas carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Arkansas market and make no claim about Arkansas's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome96.5%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$18
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Idaho have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Idaho have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Idaho has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Idaho carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Idaho market and make no claim about Idaho's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome96.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$19
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Colorado have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Colorado have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Colorado has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Colorado carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Colorado market and make no claim about Colorado's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome95.5%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$18
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Mississippi have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Mississippi have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mississippi has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Mississippi carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Mississippi market and make no claim about Mississippi's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome95.5%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$18
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Nevada have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Nevada have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Nevada carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Nevada market and make no claim about Nevada's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome92.5%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$13
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Nebraska have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Nebraska have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nebraska has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Nebraska carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Nebraska market and make no claim about Nebraska's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome92.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$13
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Wisconsin have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Wisconsin have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wisconsin has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Wisconsin carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Wisconsin market and make no claim about Wisconsin's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome92.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$13
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Oklahoma have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Oklahoma have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Oklahoma has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Oklahoma carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Oklahoma market and make no claim about Oklahoma's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome89.5%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$13
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Alabama have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Alabama have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alabama has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$4
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Arizona have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Arizona have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arizona has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Arizona carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Arizona market and make no claim about Arizona's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$4
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will California have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will California have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if California has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". California carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no California market and make no claim about California's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$5
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETPolitics
CLOSING SOON
Will Delaware have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Delaware have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Delaware has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Delaware carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Delaware market and make no claim about Delaware's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$5
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Florida have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Florida have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Florida has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Florida carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Florida market and make no claim about Florida's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$5
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Georgia have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Georgia have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Georgia has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Georgia carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Georgia market and make no claim about Georgia's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$5
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Kansas have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Kansas have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kansas has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Kansas carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Kansas market and make no claim about Kansas's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$5
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Louisiana have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Louisiana have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Louisiana has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Louisiana carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Louisiana market and make no claim about Louisiana's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$5
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Maryland have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Maryland have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Maryland has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Maryland carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Maryland market and make no claim about Maryland's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$5
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Minnesota have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Minnesota have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Minnesota has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Minnesota carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Minnesota market and make no claim about Minnesota's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$5
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Missouri have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Missouri have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Missouri carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Missouri market and make no claim about Missouri's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$5
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Montana have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Montana have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Montana has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Montana carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Montana market and make no claim about Montana's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$5
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will New Jersey have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will New Jersey have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Jersey has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". New Jersey carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no New Jersey market and make no claim about New Jersey's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$4
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will New Mexico have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will New Mexico have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Mexico has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". New Mexico carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no New Mexico market and make no claim about New Mexico's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$4
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will North Carolina have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will North Carolina have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Carolina has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". North Carolina carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no North Carolina market and make no claim about North Carolina's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$5
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will North Dakota have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will North Dakota have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Dakota has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". North Dakota carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no North Dakota market and make no claim about North Dakota's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$4
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Oregon have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Oregon have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Oregon has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Oregon carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Oregon market and make no claim about Oregon's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$5
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will South Carolina have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will South Carolina have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if South Carolina has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". South Carolina carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no South Carolina market and make no claim about South Carolina's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$5
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will South Dakota have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will South Dakota have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if South Dakota has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". South Dakota carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no South Dakota market and make no claim about South Dakota's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$5
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Tennessee have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Tennessee have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tennessee has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Tennessee carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Tennessee market and make no claim about Tennessee's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$5
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Texas have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Texas have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Texas has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Texas carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Texas market and make no claim about Texas's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$5
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Utah have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Utah have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Utah has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Utah carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Utah market and make no claim about Utah's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$5
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Virginia have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Virginia have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Virginia has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Virginia carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Virginia market and make no claim about Virginia's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$5
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Washington have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Washington have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Washington has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Washington carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Washington market and make no claim about Washington's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$5
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will West Virginia have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will West Virginia have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if West Virginia has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". West Virginia carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no West Virginia market and make no claim about West Virginia's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$5
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Wyoming have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Wyoming have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wyoming has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Wyoming carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Wyoming market and make no claim about Wyoming's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$5
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Illinois have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Illinois have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Illinois has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Illinois carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Illinois market and make no claim about Illinois's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome2.5%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$10
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Kentucky have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Kentucky have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kentucky has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Kentucky carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Kentucky market and make no claim about Kentucky's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome2.5%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$10
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Pennsylvania have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Pennsylvania have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pennsylvania has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Pennsylvania carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Pennsylvania market and make no claim about Pennsylvania's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome2.5%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$10
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Indiana have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Indiana have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Indiana has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Indiana carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Indiana market and make no claim about Indiana's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome2.1%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$9
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Iowa have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Iowa have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iowa has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Iowa carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Iowa market and make no claim about Iowa's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome2.1%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$9
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
CLOSING SOON
Will Ohio have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will Ohio have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ohio has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Ohio carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Ohio market and make no claim about Ohio's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome2.1%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$9
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details

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