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How strong will Champi be?

Event Group
EventPOLYMARKET

How strong will Champi be?

How strong will Champi be?
|
Vol

$20

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Markets

4

Market snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?

polymarket

No data available

All Markets(4)
MarketOutcome price
Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?
Yes 75.5%
Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?
Yes 26.0%
Will Champi peak as a Strong typhoon?
Yes 25.5%
Will Champi peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?
Yes 23.0%

Event Overview

This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Champi. Peak intensity means the highest intensity class the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) assigns to Champi in an analysis published for the storm. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". If JMA never assigns Champi an intensity class, this market will resolve to "Severe tropical storm or weaker". JMA's own bounds: "Severe tropical storm or weaker" is under 33 m/s (64 kt), "Strong" is 33 to 44 m/s (64 to 85 kt), "Very strong" is 44 to 54 m/s (85 to 105 kt), and "Violent" is 54 m/s (105 kt) or more. JMA states the intensity class in the "Intensity" field of each analysis it publishes for the storm, alongside the storm's "Grade", and assigns an intensity class only to a cyclone it grades "TY". Forecast entries will not be considered for resolution. Classifications issued by any agency other than JMA will not be considered for resolution. Post-season best track data for Champi will not be considered for resolution. This market will resolve once JMA stops publishing analyses for Champi. If JMA has not stopped publishing analyses for Champi by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the highest intensity class published up to that time. No substitute data provider will be used. Revisions published before JMA stops publishing analyses for Champi will be considered; revisions published after that point will not be considered for resolution. If JMA corrects an analysis as erroneous before this market resolves, the corrected analysis will be used. If JMA removes an analysis as erroneous without replacement, the highest intensity class published in the remaining analyses will be used. Otherwise the published analysis stands. Temporary display glitches that do not appear in JMA's published data will not be considered. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous analysis under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. The primary resolution source for this market will be the analyses published by JMA for Champi (JMA typhoon number 2630) at https://www.jma.go.jp/bosai/map.html#contents=typhoon&lang=en, specifically the intensity class stated in the "Intensity" field. Past positions for T2630 can be viewed at https://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital-typhoon/summary/wnp/s/202630.html.en, where each Daily Satellite Image opens a page giving the position recorded at that time. That archive republishes JMA's own track data and is maintained by the National Institute of Informatics, but it does not state the Intensity class; it shows Central Pressure and Maximum Wind instead therefore, Maximum Wind will be used when referencing the archive.

Market Resolution RulesSame rules for all markets

This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Champi. Peak intensity means the highest intensity class the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) assigns to Champi in an analysis published for the storm. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". If JMA never assigns Champi an intensity class, this market will resolve to "Severe tropical storm or weaker". JMA's own bounds: "Severe tropical storm or weaker" is under 33 m/s (64 kt), "Strong" is 33 to 44 m/s (64 to 85 kt), "Very strong" is 44 to 54 m/s (85 to 105 kt), and "Violent" is 54 m/s (105 kt) or more. JMA states the intensity class in the "Intensity" field of each analysis it publishes for the storm, alongside the storm's "Grade", and assigns an intensity class only to a cyclone it grades "TY". Forecast entries will not be considered for resolution. Classifications issued by any agency other than JMA will not be considered for resolution. Post-season best track data for Champi will not be considered for resolution. This market will resolve once JMA stops publishing analyses for Champi. If JMA has not stopped publishing analyses for Champi by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the highest intensity class published up to that time. No substitute data provider will be used. Revisions published before JMA stops publishing analyses for Champi will be considered; revisions published after that point will not be considered for resolution. If JMA corrects an analysis as erroneous before this market resolves, the corrected analysis will be used. If JMA removes an analysis as erroneous without replacement, the highest intensity class published in the remaining analyses will be used. Otherwise the published analysis stands. Temporary display glitches that do not appear in JMA's published data will not be considered. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous analysis under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. The primary resolution source for this market will be the analyses published by JMA for Champi (JMA typhoon number 2630) at https://www.jma.go.jp/bosai/map.html#contents=typhoon&lang=en, specifically the intensity class stated in the "Intensity" field. Past positions for T2630 can be viewed at https://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital-typhoon/summary/wnp/s/202630.html.en, where each Daily Satellite Image opens a page giving the position recorded at that time. That archive republishes JMA's own track data and is maintained by the National Institute of Informatics, but it does not state the Intensity class; it shows Central Pressure and Maximum Wind instead therefore, Maximum Wind will be used when referencing the archive.

Saved descriptions match across 4 contracts. Check each contract on the provider for its full terms.

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Polymarket uses UMA protocol for dispute resolution when necessary
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (4)

Sort
POLYMARKETClimate
Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?

Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?

This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Champi. Peak intensity means the highest intensity class the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) assigns to Champi in an analysis published for the storm. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". If JMA never assigns Champi an intensity class, this market will resolve to "Severe tropical storm or weaker". JMA's own bounds: "Severe tropical storm or weaker" is under 33 m/s (64 kt), "Strong" is 33 to 44 m/s (64 to 85 kt), "Very strong" is 44 to 54 m/s (85 to 105 kt), and "Violent" is 54 m/s (105 kt) or more. JMA states the intensity class in the "Intensity" field of each analysis it publishes for the storm, alongside the storm's "Grade", and assigns an intensity class only to a cyclone it grades "TY". Forecast entries will not be considered for resolution. Classifications issued by any agency other than JMA will not be considered for resolution. Post-season best track data for Champi will not be considered for resolution. This market will resolve once JMA stops publishing analyses for Champi. If JMA has not stopped publishing analyses for Champi by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the highest intensity class published up to that time. No substitute data provider will be used. Revisions published before JMA stops publishing analyses for Champi will be considered; revisions published after that point will not be considered for resolution. If JMA corrects an analysis as erroneous before this market resolves, the corrected analysis will be used. If JMA removes an analysis as erroneous without replacement, the highest intensity class published in the remaining analyses will be used. Otherwise the published analysis stands. Temporary display glitches that do not appear in JMA's published data will not be considered. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous analysis under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. The primary resolution source for this market will be the analyses published by JMA for Champi (JMA typhoon number 2630) at https://www.jma.go.jp/bosai/map.html#contents=typhoon&lang=en, specifically the intensity class stated in the "Intensity" field. Past positions for T2630 can be viewed at https://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital-typhoon/summary/wnp/s/202630.html.en, where each Daily Satellite Image opens a page giving the position recorded at that time. That archive republishes JMA's own track data and is maintained by the National Institute of Informatics, but it does not state the Intensity class; it shows Central Pressure and Maximum Wind instead therefore, Maximum Wind will be used when referencing the archive.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome75.5%
Yes
Volume$20
Liquidity$388
End DateOct 30, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?

Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?

This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Champi. Peak intensity means the highest intensity class the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) assigns to Champi in an analysis published for the storm. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". If JMA never assigns Champi an intensity class, this market will resolve to "Severe tropical storm or weaker". JMA's own bounds: "Severe tropical storm or weaker" is under 33 m/s (64 kt), "Strong" is 33 to 44 m/s (64 to 85 kt), "Very strong" is 44 to 54 m/s (85 to 105 kt), and "Violent" is 54 m/s (105 kt) or more. JMA states the intensity class in the "Intensity" field of each analysis it publishes for the storm, alongside the storm's "Grade", and assigns an intensity class only to a cyclone it grades "TY". Forecast entries will not be considered for resolution. Classifications issued by any agency other than JMA will not be considered for resolution. Post-season best track data for Champi will not be considered for resolution. This market will resolve once JMA stops publishing analyses for Champi. If JMA has not stopped publishing analyses for Champi by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the highest intensity class published up to that time. No substitute data provider will be used. Revisions published before JMA stops publishing analyses for Champi will be considered; revisions published after that point will not be considered for resolution. If JMA corrects an analysis as erroneous before this market resolves, the corrected analysis will be used. If JMA removes an analysis as erroneous without replacement, the highest intensity class published in the remaining analyses will be used. Otherwise the published analysis stands. Temporary display glitches that do not appear in JMA's published data will not be considered. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous analysis under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. The primary resolution source for this market will be the analyses published by JMA for Champi (JMA typhoon number 2630) at https://www.jma.go.jp/bosai/map.html#contents=typhoon&lang=en, specifically the intensity class stated in the "Intensity" field. Past positions for T2630 can be viewed at https://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital-typhoon/summary/wnp/s/202630.html.en, where each Daily Satellite Image opens a page giving the position recorded at that time. That archive republishes JMA's own track data and is maintained by the National Institute of Informatics, but it does not state the Intensity class; it shows Central Pressure and Maximum Wind instead therefore, Maximum Wind will be used when referencing the archive.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome26.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$291
End DateOct 30, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
Will Champi peak as a Strong typhoon?

Will Champi peak as a Strong typhoon?

This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Champi. Peak intensity means the highest intensity class the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) assigns to Champi in an analysis published for the storm. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". If JMA never assigns Champi an intensity class, this market will resolve to "Severe tropical storm or weaker". JMA's own bounds: "Severe tropical storm or weaker" is under 33 m/s (64 kt), "Strong" is 33 to 44 m/s (64 to 85 kt), "Very strong" is 44 to 54 m/s (85 to 105 kt), and "Violent" is 54 m/s (105 kt) or more. JMA states the intensity class in the "Intensity" field of each analysis it publishes for the storm, alongside the storm's "Grade", and assigns an intensity class only to a cyclone it grades "TY". Forecast entries will not be considered for resolution. Classifications issued by any agency other than JMA will not be considered for resolution. Post-season best track data for Champi will not be considered for resolution. This market will resolve once JMA stops publishing analyses for Champi. If JMA has not stopped publishing analyses for Champi by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the highest intensity class published up to that time. No substitute data provider will be used. Revisions published before JMA stops publishing analyses for Champi will be considered; revisions published after that point will not be considered for resolution. If JMA corrects an analysis as erroneous before this market resolves, the corrected analysis will be used. If JMA removes an analysis as erroneous without replacement, the highest intensity class published in the remaining analyses will be used. Otherwise the published analysis stands. Temporary display glitches that do not appear in JMA's published data will not be considered. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous analysis under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. The primary resolution source for this market will be the analyses published by JMA for Champi (JMA typhoon number 2630) at https://www.jma.go.jp/bosai/map.html#contents=typhoon&lang=en, specifically the intensity class stated in the "Intensity" field. Past positions for T2630 can be viewed at https://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital-typhoon/summary/wnp/s/202630.html.en, where each Daily Satellite Image opens a page giving the position recorded at that time. That archive republishes JMA's own track data and is maintained by the National Institute of Informatics, but it does not state the Intensity class; it shows Central Pressure and Maximum Wind instead therefore, Maximum Wind will be used when referencing the archive.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome25.5%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$59
End DateOct 30, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETClimate
Will Champi peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?

Will Champi peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?

This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Champi. Peak intensity means the highest intensity class the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) assigns to Champi in an analysis published for the storm. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". If JMA never assigns Champi an intensity class, this market will resolve to "Severe tropical storm or weaker". JMA's own bounds: "Severe tropical storm or weaker" is under 33 m/s (64 kt), "Strong" is 33 to 44 m/s (64 to 85 kt), "Very strong" is 44 to 54 m/s (85 to 105 kt), and "Violent" is 54 m/s (105 kt) or more. JMA states the intensity class in the "Intensity" field of each analysis it publishes for the storm, alongside the storm's "Grade", and assigns an intensity class only to a cyclone it grades "TY". Forecast entries will not be considered for resolution. Classifications issued by any agency other than JMA will not be considered for resolution. Post-season best track data for Champi will not be considered for resolution. This market will resolve once JMA stops publishing analyses for Champi. If JMA has not stopped publishing analyses for Champi by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the highest intensity class published up to that time. No substitute data provider will be used. Revisions published before JMA stops publishing analyses for Champi will be considered; revisions published after that point will not be considered for resolution. If JMA corrects an analysis as erroneous before this market resolves, the corrected analysis will be used. If JMA removes an analysis as erroneous without replacement, the highest intensity class published in the remaining analyses will be used. Otherwise the published analysis stands. Temporary display glitches that do not appear in JMA's published data will not be considered. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous analysis under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. The primary resolution source for this market will be the analyses published by JMA for Champi (JMA typhoon number 2630) at https://www.jma.go.jp/bosai/map.html#contents=typhoon&lang=en, specifically the intensity class stated in the "Intensity" field. Past positions for T2630 can be viewed at https://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital-typhoon/summary/wnp/s/202630.html.en, where each Daily Satellite Image opens a page giving the position recorded at that time. That archive republishes JMA's own track data and is maintained by the National Institute of Informatics, but it does not state the Intensity class; it shows Central Pressure and Maximum Wind instead therefore, Maximum Wind will be used when referencing the archive.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome23.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$56
End DateOct 30, 2026
View Details

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