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Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728?

Event Group
EventPOLYMARKET

Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728?

Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728?
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Vol

$0

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Markets

6

Market snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be down 3% to 7%?

polymarket

No data available

All Markets(6)
MarketOutcome price
Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be down 3% to 7%?
Yes 50.0%
Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be down 0% to 3%?
Yes 50.0%
Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be up 0% to 3%?
Yes 50.0%
Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be up more than 7%?
Yes 50.0%
Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be down more than 7%?
Yes 49.5%

Event Overview

This market will resolve according to the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment that occurs at the specified block height. Block 973,728 is the next difficulty retarget height and is currently expected to be reached on or around October 30, 2026 (ET). If the displayed percentage falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". The difficulty adjustment is the percentage change in Bitcoin network difficulty that takes effect at the specified block height, as displayed in the "Change" column of the Adjustments table on the mempool.space Mining Dashboard. A positive percentage is an "up" adjustment and a negative percentage is a "down" adjustment. If mempool.space does not display the adjustment for the specified block height within 2 calendar days (ET) after that block height is reached, the adjustment percentage as shown by a consensus of credible block explorers will be used. If block 973,728 has not been reached by 11:59 PM ET on November 27, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. The resolution source for this market is the mempool.space Mining Dashboard at https://mempool.space/mining, specifically the "Change" column of the Adjustments table for the specified block height. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the difficulty adjustment percentage as displayed on mempool.space, or, where mempool.space does not display it as described above, the consensus of credible block explorers. Values from other sources will not otherwise be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market Resolution RulesSame rules for all markets

This market will resolve according to the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment that occurs at the specified block height. Block 973,728 is the next difficulty retarget height and is currently expected to be reached on or around October 30, 2026 (ET). If the displayed percentage falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". The difficulty adjustment is the percentage change in Bitcoin network difficulty that takes effect at the specified block height, as displayed in the "Change" column of the Adjustments table on the mempool.space Mining Dashboard. A positive percentage is an "up" adjustment and a negative percentage is a "down" adjustment. If mempool.space does not display the adjustment for the specified block height within 2 calendar days (ET) after that block height is reached, the adjustment percentage as shown by a consensus of credible block explorers will be used. If block 973,728 has not been reached by 11:59 PM ET on November 27, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. The resolution source for this market is the mempool.space Mining Dashboard at https://mempool.space/mining, specifically the "Change" column of the Adjustments table for the specified block height. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the difficulty adjustment percentage as displayed on mempool.space, or, where mempool.space does not display it as described above, the consensus of credible block explorers. Values from other sources will not otherwise be considered for the resolution of this market.

Saved descriptions match across 6 contracts. Check each contract on the provider for its full terms.

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Polymarket uses UMA protocol for dispute resolution when necessary
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (6)

Sort
POLYMARKETCrypto
Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be down 3% to 7%?

Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be down 3% to 7%?

This market will resolve according to the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment that occurs at the specified block height. Block 973,728 is the next difficulty retarget height and is currently expected to be reached on or around October 30, 2026 (ET). If the displayed percentage falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". The difficulty adjustment is the percentage change in Bitcoin network difficulty that takes effect at the specified block height, as displayed in the "Change" column of the Adjustments table on the mempool.space Mining Dashboard. A positive percentage is an "up" adjustment and a negative percentage is a "down" adjustment. If mempool.space does not display the adjustment for the specified block height within 2 calendar days (ET) after that block height is reached, the adjustment percentage as shown by a consensus of credible block explorers will be used. If block 973,728 has not been reached by 11:59 PM ET on November 27, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. The resolution source for this market is the mempool.space Mining Dashboard at https://mempool.space/mining, specifically the "Change" column of the Adjustments table for the specified block height. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the difficulty adjustment percentage as displayed on mempool.space, or, where mempool.space does not display it as described above, the consensus of credible block explorers. Values from other sources will not otherwise be considered for the resolution of this market.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$1
End DateNov 02, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETCrypto
Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be down 0% to 3%?

Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be down 0% to 3%?

This market will resolve according to the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment that occurs at the specified block height. Block 973,728 is the next difficulty retarget height and is currently expected to be reached on or around October 30, 2026 (ET). If the displayed percentage falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". The difficulty adjustment is the percentage change in Bitcoin network difficulty that takes effect at the specified block height, as displayed in the "Change" column of the Adjustments table on the mempool.space Mining Dashboard. A positive percentage is an "up" adjustment and a negative percentage is a "down" adjustment. If mempool.space does not display the adjustment for the specified block height within 2 calendar days (ET) after that block height is reached, the adjustment percentage as shown by a consensus of credible block explorers will be used. If block 973,728 has not been reached by 11:59 PM ET on November 27, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. The resolution source for this market is the mempool.space Mining Dashboard at https://mempool.space/mining, specifically the "Change" column of the Adjustments table for the specified block height. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the difficulty adjustment percentage as displayed on mempool.space, or, where mempool.space does not display it as described above, the consensus of credible block explorers. Values from other sources will not otherwise be considered for the resolution of this market.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$1
End DateNov 02, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETCrypto
Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be up 0% to 3%?

Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be up 0% to 3%?

This market will resolve according to the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment that occurs at the specified block height. Block 973,728 is the next difficulty retarget height and is currently expected to be reached on or around October 30, 2026 (ET). If the displayed percentage falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". The difficulty adjustment is the percentage change in Bitcoin network difficulty that takes effect at the specified block height, as displayed in the "Change" column of the Adjustments table on the mempool.space Mining Dashboard. A positive percentage is an "up" adjustment and a negative percentage is a "down" adjustment. If mempool.space does not display the adjustment for the specified block height within 2 calendar days (ET) after that block height is reached, the adjustment percentage as shown by a consensus of credible block explorers will be used. If block 973,728 has not been reached by 11:59 PM ET on November 27, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. The resolution source for this market is the mempool.space Mining Dashboard at https://mempool.space/mining, specifically the "Change" column of the Adjustments table for the specified block height. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the difficulty adjustment percentage as displayed on mempool.space, or, where mempool.space does not display it as described above, the consensus of credible block explorers. Values from other sources will not otherwise be considered for the resolution of this market.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$1
End DateNov 02, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETCrypto
Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be up more than 7%?

Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be up more than 7%?

This market will resolve according to the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment that occurs at the specified block height. Block 973,728 is the next difficulty retarget height and is currently expected to be reached on or around October 30, 2026 (ET). If the displayed percentage falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". The difficulty adjustment is the percentage change in Bitcoin network difficulty that takes effect at the specified block height, as displayed in the "Change" column of the Adjustments table on the mempool.space Mining Dashboard. A positive percentage is an "up" adjustment and a negative percentage is a "down" adjustment. If mempool.space does not display the adjustment for the specified block height within 2 calendar days (ET) after that block height is reached, the adjustment percentage as shown by a consensus of credible block explorers will be used. If block 973,728 has not been reached by 11:59 PM ET on November 27, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. The resolution source for this market is the mempool.space Mining Dashboard at https://mempool.space/mining, specifically the "Change" column of the Adjustments table for the specified block height. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the difficulty adjustment percentage as displayed on mempool.space, or, where mempool.space does not display it as described above, the consensus of credible block explorers. Values from other sources will not otherwise be considered for the resolution of this market.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$1
End DateNov 02, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETCrypto
Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be down more than 7%?

Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be down more than 7%?

This market will resolve according to the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment that occurs at the specified block height. Block 973,728 is the next difficulty retarget height and is currently expected to be reached on or around October 30, 2026 (ET). If the displayed percentage falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". The difficulty adjustment is the percentage change in Bitcoin network difficulty that takes effect at the specified block height, as displayed in the "Change" column of the Adjustments table on the mempool.space Mining Dashboard. A positive percentage is an "up" adjustment and a negative percentage is a "down" adjustment. If mempool.space does not display the adjustment for the specified block height within 2 calendar days (ET) after that block height is reached, the adjustment percentage as shown by a consensus of credible block explorers will be used. If block 973,728 has not been reached by 11:59 PM ET on November 27, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. The resolution source for this market is the mempool.space Mining Dashboard at https://mempool.space/mining, specifically the "Change" column of the Adjustments table for the specified block height. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the difficulty adjustment percentage as displayed on mempool.space, or, where mempool.space does not display it as described above, the consensus of credible block explorers. Values from other sources will not otherwise be considered for the resolution of this market.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome49.5%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$1
End DateNov 02, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETCrypto
Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be up 3% to 7%?

Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be up 3% to 7%?

This market will resolve according to the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment that occurs at the specified block height. Block 973,728 is the next difficulty retarget height and is currently expected to be reached on or around October 30, 2026 (ET). If the displayed percentage falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". The difficulty adjustment is the percentage change in Bitcoin network difficulty that takes effect at the specified block height, as displayed in the "Change" column of the Adjustments table on the mempool.space Mining Dashboard. A positive percentage is an "up" adjustment and a negative percentage is a "down" adjustment. If mempool.space does not display the adjustment for the specified block height within 2 calendar days (ET) after that block height is reached, the adjustment percentage as shown by a consensus of credible block explorers will be used. If block 973,728 has not been reached by 11:59 PM ET on November 27, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. The resolution source for this market is the mempool.space Mining Dashboard at https://mempool.space/mining, specifically the "Change" column of the Adjustments table for the specified block height. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the difficulty adjustment percentage as displayed on mempool.space, or, where mempool.space does not display it as described above, the consensus of credible block explorers. Values from other sources will not otherwise be considered for the resolution of this market.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome49.5%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$1
End DateNov 02, 2026
View Details

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