
For the purposes of this market, a Category 4 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 130-156 mph, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 4 hurricane, as reported in official N
38%
$214.18K
1
Dec 31, 2026
in 12 months
38%
$214.18K
1
1 market tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | 38% |