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Ship traffic through the Panama Canal week of November 16?

Event Group
EventPOLYMARKET
Ship traffic through the Panama Canal week of November 16?
Ship traffic through the Panama Canal week of November 16?
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Vol

$150.72

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Markets

6

Market snapshot: Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will 180+ ships transit the Panama Canal week of November 16?

polymarket

No data available

All Markets(6)
MarketOutcome price
Will 180+ ships transit the Panama Canal week of November 16?
Yes 91.5%
Will 185+ ships transit the Panama Canal week of November 16?
Yes 75.0%
Will 175+ ships transit the Panama Canal week of November 16?
Yes 71.0%
Will 190+ ships transit the Panama Canal week of November 16?
Yes 57.5%
Will 195+ ships transit the Panama Canal week of November 16?
Yes 33.0%

Event Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of transit calls through the Panama Canal from November 16, 2026 to November 22, 2026, according to IMF PortWatch, is at least the number specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The total is the sum of the daily figures for every date in the period. Daily figures are the total transit calls by container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships that IMF PortWatch publishes for each date. This market will resolve once IMF PortWatch has published data for every date in the period. Revisions made after that point will not be considered, unless subject to the data integrity clause below. If any data is still unpublished 14 calendar days after the period’s final date, this market will resolve on the most recent data published at that time. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the Transit Calls data published for the Panama Canal at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/44d73fd00bbc4f73a16d46d5beb11b4d.

Market Resolution RulesSame rules for all markets

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of transit calls through the Panama Canal from November 16, 2026 to November 22, 2026, according to IMF PortWatch, is at least the number specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The total is the sum of the daily figures for every date in the period. Daily figures are the total transit calls by container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships that IMF PortWatch publishes for each date. This market will resolve once IMF PortWatch has published data for every date in the period. Revisions made after that point will not be considered, unless subject to the data integrity clause below. If any data is still unpublished 14 calendar days after the period’s final date, this market will resolve on the most recent data published at that time. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the Transit Calls data published for the Panama Canal at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/44d73fd00bbc4f73a16d46d5beb11b4d.

Saved descriptions match across 6 contracts. Check each contract on the provider for its full terms.

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Polymarket uses UMA protocol for dispute resolution when necessary
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (6)

Sort
POLYMARKETOther
Will 180+ ships transit the Panama Canal week of November 16?

Will 180+ ships transit the Panama Canal week of November 16?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of transit calls through the Panama Canal from November 16, 2026 to November 22, 2026, according to IMF PortWatch, is at least the number specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The total is the sum of the daily figures for every date in the period. Daily figures are the total transit calls by container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships that IMF PortWatch publishes for each date. This market will resolve once IMF PortWatch has published data for every date in the period. Revisions made after that point will not be considered, unless subject to the data integrity clause below. If any data is still unpublished 14 calendar days after the period’s final date, this market will resolve on the most recent data published at that time. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the Transit Calls data published for the Panama Canal at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/44d73fd00bbc4f73a16d46d5beb11b4d.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome91.5%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$122
End DateNov 23, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETOther
Will 185+ ships transit the Panama Canal week of November 16?

Will 185+ ships transit the Panama Canal week of November 16?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of transit calls through the Panama Canal from November 16, 2026 to November 22, 2026, according to IMF PortWatch, is at least the number specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The total is the sum of the daily figures for every date in the period. Daily figures are the total transit calls by container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships that IMF PortWatch publishes for each date. This market will resolve once IMF PortWatch has published data for every date in the period. Revisions made after that point will not be considered, unless subject to the data integrity clause below. If any data is still unpublished 14 calendar days after the period’s final date, this market will resolve on the most recent data published at that time. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the Transit Calls data published for the Panama Canal at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/44d73fd00bbc4f73a16d46d5beb11b4d.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome75.0%
Yes
Volume$150.72
Liquidity$66
End DateNov 23, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETOther
Will 175+ ships transit the Panama Canal week of November 16?

Will 175+ ships transit the Panama Canal week of November 16?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of transit calls through the Panama Canal from November 16, 2026 to November 22, 2026, according to IMF PortWatch, is at least the number specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The total is the sum of the daily figures for every date in the period. Daily figures are the total transit calls by container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships that IMF PortWatch publishes for each date. This market will resolve once IMF PortWatch has published data for every date in the period. Revisions made after that point will not be considered, unless subject to the data integrity clause below. If any data is still unpublished 14 calendar days after the period’s final date, this market will resolve on the most recent data published at that time. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the Transit Calls data published for the Panama Canal at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/44d73fd00bbc4f73a16d46d5beb11b4d.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome71.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$32
End DateNov 23, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETOther
Will 190+ ships transit the Panama Canal week of November 16?

Will 190+ ships transit the Panama Canal week of November 16?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of transit calls through the Panama Canal from November 16, 2026 to November 22, 2026, according to IMF PortWatch, is at least the number specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The total is the sum of the daily figures for every date in the period. Daily figures are the total transit calls by container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships that IMF PortWatch publishes for each date. This market will resolve once IMF PortWatch has published data for every date in the period. Revisions made after that point will not be considered, unless subject to the data integrity clause below. If any data is still unpublished 14 calendar days after the period’s final date, this market will resolve on the most recent data published at that time. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the Transit Calls data published for the Panama Canal at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/44d73fd00bbc4f73a16d46d5beb11b4d.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome57.5%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$48
End DateNov 23, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETOther
Will 195+ ships transit the Panama Canal week of November 16?

Will 195+ ships transit the Panama Canal week of November 16?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of transit calls through the Panama Canal from November 16, 2026 to November 22, 2026, according to IMF PortWatch, is at least the number specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The total is the sum of the daily figures for every date in the period. Daily figures are the total transit calls by container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships that IMF PortWatch publishes for each date. This market will resolve once IMF PortWatch has published data for every date in the period. Revisions made after that point will not be considered, unless subject to the data integrity clause below. If any data is still unpublished 14 calendar days after the period’s final date, this market will resolve on the most recent data published at that time. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the Transit Calls data published for the Panama Canal at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/44d73fd00bbc4f73a16d46d5beb11b4d.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome33.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$30
End DateNov 23, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETOther
Will 200+ ships transit the Panama Canal week of November 16?

Will 200+ ships transit the Panama Canal week of November 16?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of transit calls through the Panama Canal from November 16, 2026 to November 22, 2026, according to IMF PortWatch, is at least the number specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The total is the sum of the daily figures for every date in the period. Daily figures are the total transit calls by container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships that IMF PortWatch publishes for each date. This market will resolve once IMF PortWatch has published data for every date in the period. Revisions made after that point will not be considered, unless subject to the data integrity clause below. If any data is still unpublished 14 calendar days after the period’s final date, this market will resolve on the most recent data published at that time. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the Transit Calls data published for the Panama Canal at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/44d73fd00bbc4f73a16d46d5beb11b4d.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome20.0%
Yes
Volume$0
Liquidity$30
End DateNov 23, 2026
View Details

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