
On October 8, an agreement on an initial ceasefire (Phase 1) was announced, constituting a halt in fighting, a partial Israeli pullback to a “yellow line,” prisoner swaps, expanded aid, and the release of hostages. A second phase of the deal, yet to be negotiated, is expected to address further Israeli withdrawal, Hamas’s disarmament, and the establishment of new security and governance arrangements in Gaza. This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement for the second phase of the
24%
$2.48M
2
Dec 31, 2025
2 months ago
24%
$2.48M
2
2 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? | 24% |
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31? | 9% |