
On October 8, an agreement on an initial ceasefire (Phase 1) was announced, constituting a halt in fighting, a partial Israeli pullback to a “yellow line,” prisoner swaps, expanded aid, and the release of hostages. A second phase of the deal, yet to be negotiated, is expected to address further Israeli withdrawal, Hamas’s disarmament, and the establishment of new security and governance arrangements in Gaza. This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement for the second phase of the
65%
$1.38M
4
Dec 31, 2025
15 days ago
65%
$1.38M
4
4 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? | 65% |
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31? | 62% |
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | 43% |
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31? | 20% |