
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kupiansk by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Kupiansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. The territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey a
18%
$1.17M
2
Jun 30, 2026
in 4 months
18%
$1.17M
2
2 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | 18% |
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31? | 1% |