Yes25%
Vol$327.81
Markets9
Event Group
EventPOLYMARKET

Single EventPOLYMARKETPolitics
AZ-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Part of: AZ-04 House Election Margin of VictoryThe 2026 AZ-04 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top t
YesLeading Yes Probability
25%
|
VolTotal Volume
$327.81
|
Markets
9
Ends
Nov 3, 2026
in about 2 monthsAZ-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Yes
25%
|
Vol
$327.81
|
Markets
9
Market Price Graph
9 markets tracked
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 35% or more?
polymarket
No data available
All Markets(9)
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 35% or more? | 25% |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 10%-15%? | 23% |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 5%-10%? | 22% |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election? | 18% |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 25%-30%? | 17% |
Markets (9)
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