Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

The 2026 midterm elections for the US Senate is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Republicans hold fewer seats in the Senate for any state that Trump won in the 2024 US presidential election as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Initial seat counts will be based on the composition of the US Senate as of November 2, 2026, 11:59PM ET. This market's resolution will be solely based on the number of se