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GroupPOLYMARKET

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Pogon Szczecin - Second Half Result

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Pogon Szczecin - Second Half Result
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Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Jagiellonia Bialystok at 50%.

Polymarket

  1. Jagiellonia Bialystok50%
  2. Draw50%
  3. Pogon Szczecin50%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

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Reported volume · provider units

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

About This Event

In the upcoming Poland Ekstraklasa game between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Pogon Szczecin, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Jagiellonia Bialystok" if Jagiellonia Bialystok score more goals than Pogon Szczecin in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Jagiellonia Bialystok and Pogon Szczecin score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Pogon Szczecin" if Pogon Szczecin score more goals than Jagiellonia Bialystok in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This event covers only the second half of the Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Pogon Szczecin match. A market resolves to "Jagiellonia Bialystok" if the home side scores more goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time, to "Draw" if the goal totals are equal, and to "Pogon Szczecin" if the away side scores more [1]. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1].

The rules also set edge cases. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "Draw" [1]. The primary resolution source is official event statistics, with credible reporting used only if final statistics are not published within 24 hours [1]. Later score revisions are not counted [1].

The saved event lists an end time of 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z [1]. That is a closing time in the contract data, not evidence of when the match was played or when any market resolved.

Reading the snapshot

The evidence includes three Polymarket markets from one event: a home second-half win, a second-half draw, and an away second-half win [1]. Each market shows a Yes price of 0.5 and a No price of 0.5, and each is listed as active in the saved snapshot [1]. The observation time is 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z, and the retrieval time is 2026-10-16T00:32:21.102Z. Both describe when the data was collected, so they should not be read as live conditions.

All three markets for this event are included, and the sample is not partial [1]. Because the three contracts use separate Yes prices, they do not combine into a single probability distribution. The prices here are snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Equal prices in this snapshot do not explain why the market is priced that way, and they do not indicate that any contract is better value than another.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not include the match result, a resolution outcome, or any report on the match. The listed end time falls before the retrieval time, but the snapshot still records the markets as active, so the record does not show whether they have since closed or settled. Source material also does not include trading volume, liquidity, or trader counts, so this snapshot cannot be used to judge depth or market consensus.

References

  1. Polymarket: Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Pogon Szczecin - Second Half Result. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTC

This saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.

Overview

This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event tied to the Ekstraklasa match between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Pogon Szczecin, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. The event contains three binary contracts that focus only on the second half of the match. One asks whether Jagiellonia Bialystok will score more goals than Pogon Szczecin in that period, one asks whether the two sides will score the same number of goals, and one asks whether Pogon Szczecin will score more [1]. The contract's listed end time is 2026-08-15T14:00:00Z [1]. That time is when the market was set to close, not a confirmed resolution date or the date a result was announced. The saved provider record was observed on October 16, 2026 at 00:00 UTC and still shows the event as active [1]. Because the listed end time is earlier than that observation, the record does not show a settled outcome. The available evidence does not include a final score, official match statistics, or a resolution for this event, so this article does not describe the match result. Each of the three contracts shows a Yes price of 0.5 and a No price of 0.5 in the saved snapshot [1]. These figures are point-in-time observations, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The resolution rules are set out in the event's contract terms [1]. Only goals scored in the second half of regular play, including second-half stoppage time, count. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shootouts are excluded. If the match is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If the match is cancelled with no make-up game, the market resolves to the draw outcome. The primary resolution source is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If those final statistics are not published within 24 hours after the event ends, the rules allow a consensus of credible reporting to be used. Score revisions made after a market resolves are not considered.

Why It Matters

The contract measures only the second-half result of one scheduled Ekstraklasa match, so it is narrower than a full-time result market. Its three outcomes are a second-half win for Jagiellonia Bialystok, a second-half draw, and a second-half win for Pogon Szczecin [1]. Because the rules exclude first-half goals and extra time, a team's overall result for the match can differ from the result on this contract [1]. The contract also names an official-statistics source and a fallback to credible reporting, which determines how the outcome is decided [1]. The saved prices are shown only as snapshots from the provider record, so they should be read as observations at that time rather than as current market conditions.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

Does this contract cover the full match result?

No. The contract covers only goals scored in the second half of regular play, including second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shootouts are excluded [1].

What happens if the match is postponed?

The market remains open until the game has been completed, according to the event rules [1].

What happens if the match is cancelled?

If the game is cancelled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to the draw outcome [1].

Which source decides the outcome?

The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If final statistics are not published within 24 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1].

Do the 0.5 prices mean each outcome has a 50 percent chance?

No. The saved snapshot shows 0.5 for the Yes and No sides of each contract [1]. These are recorded prices at one point in time, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

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Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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