Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T12:00:05.938Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The supplied Polymarket event covers the second half of the Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb match, which the rules describe as "scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET" [1]. The three markets are not the same question. One pays out on whether GNK Dinamo Zagreb win the second half, one on whether Sunderland AFC win it, and one on whether the second half is a draw [1]. The rules count only "second-half regular play plus second-half stoppage time" and exclude "First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs" [1].

The wording also matters for edge cases. If the game is postponed, the market "will remain open until the game has been completed," but if it is "canceled entirely, with no make-up game," the market "will resolve to 'Draw'" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z [1]. Resolution data comes from official statistics first, with Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting as fallbacks, and the rules say a "50-50" outcome applies if no acceptable data exists within 24 hours [1].

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-27T12:00:05.938Z, and the saved record was retrieved at 2026-10-27T14:04:07.829Z [1]. The prices below therefore describe the provider record from that observation time, not necessarily the market's current state.

At observation, the Yes prices were 0.51 for GNK Dinamo Zagreb, 0.49 for Sunderland AFC, and 0.37 for a second-half draw [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. They are also separate contracts with separate rules, so they should not be averaged or combined into a single forecast. Their Yes prices total 1.37, which is a reason to read each contract on its own terms rather than as a complete distribution.

The coverage is limited to one provider event on one platform. All three saved markets were included, and the record reports no partial sample [1]. The record does not establish that these are every possible real-world outcome, so the absence of other outcomes says nothing about their prices.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why prices are where they are, and it does not report trading volume, liquidity, or the number of participants. The snapshot cannot show whether a price would fill at that level. The record also does not confirm whether the match will be played as scheduled, postponed, or canceled, and it contains no later results or post-observation prices. Any comparison with other platforms would need matching rules and close times before the contracts could be treated as comparable.

References

1. Polymarket: Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb - Second Half Result. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T12:00:05.938Z.