Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
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Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-24T03:00:05.981Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket contract covers a short Dogecoin window. Its saved rules say it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range." Otherwise, it resolves to "Down." [1] The resolution source is the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets." [1]
Because the contract compares a window average with a starting price, it does not measure the spot price at a single moment. Readers should not assume it matches other Dogecoin prices on other platforms or exchanges.
Reading the snapshot
The saved record lists two outcomes, Up at 0.5 and Down at 0.5. [1] The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-24T03:00:05.981Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-24T08:03:02.098Z. [1] These values describe that observation time only. They are not executable quotes, verified probabilities, or a current reading.
The event status is recorded as active, with a listed end time of 2026-10-24T15:45:00.000Z. [1] The title gives the window in ET, while the listed end time is in UTC, so readers comparing the two should convert time zones carefully.
The coverage record shows one total market, one included market, and no partial sample. [1] Because this is a single binary contract, there is no ranking across outcomes and no other platform's contract is included here. Equal prices in this snapshot should not be read as evidence of agreement among traders, and the evidence does not explain them. The record also includes no volume figures, so it says nothing about liquidity.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the Dogecoin price at the start of the window or during it, so it cannot indicate which outcome is more likely. [1] The record does not describe how the beginning price is sampled beyond the phrase quoted above, and it does not give the exact time at which trading stops relative to the listed end time. The saved event reflects only the markets captured in this record, and no broader set of Dogecoin contracts has been supplied for comparison.
References
- Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-24T03:00:05.981Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 24, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window contract on Dogecoin's price, titled "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET" and listed in the crypto category [1]. The contract asks whether Dogecoin's price moves up or down over a five-minute window, and its outcomes are labeled "Up" and "Down" [1]. The rules define the measure precisely. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The rules name Chainlink as the resolution source and point to its DOGE/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval [1]. The contract is tied to that one data stream. The rules state that the market concerns the price according to the Chainlink TWAP data stream for the DOGE/USD pair, and not according to any other sources or spot markets [1]. A reader therefore should not assume that a quote on a centralized exchange or another venue would settle this contract. The listed end time is 2026-10-24T15:45:00.000Z, which corresponds to the 11:45 AM ET close in the title [1]. The title's time range is the period being measured, while the listed end time is the contract's closing point. Neither should be read as a record that the outcome has already been determined.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow question: whether the time-weighted average of the DOGE/USD price over the stated five-minute window is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because it uses an average rather than a single print, the outcome depends on the path of the price across the window and not only on its endpoint [1]. Because the reference is one named data stream, the result is defined by that feed and its rules, not by general market sentiment [1]. Readers interested in short-term crypto price contracts can use this entry to see how the resolution method determines the outcome.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-24 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
It resolves Up if the TWAP of Dogecoin over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and Down otherwise [1].
Which price source is used for settlement?
The rules specify the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, with a 60-second TWAP, and state that other sources or spot markets are not the reference [1].
What time period does the contract cover?
The title specifies October 24, 11:40AM to 11:45AM ET, and the listed end time in the rules is 2026-10-24T15:45:00.000Z [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.