Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

James Bond · Release Date

Total Volume

$7.56K

Events

Markets

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James Bond · Release Date

Vol

$7.56K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $7.56K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.56K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jan 1, 2029?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jan 1, 2029?	Kalshi	68%
Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jul 1, 2028?	Kalshi	46%
Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	22%
Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jul 1, 2027?	Kalshi	8%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

68%

Top Probability

$7.56K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

James Bond If next James Bond has been publicly released in the USA through official channels before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No, 1962; spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included. The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media, DVD, Blu-ray, or authorized digital pu

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** James Bond · Release Date
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** James Bond 

If next James Bond has been publicly released in the USA through official channels before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No, 1962; spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included. The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media, DVD, Blu-ray, or authorized digital pu

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If next James Bond has been publicly released in the USA through official channels before Before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not include"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jan 1, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2029): Vol $820
  DATA: [Yes: 67.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jul 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jan 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $868
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jul 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 8, 2027): Vol $5.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

James Bond · Release Date

Volume$7.56K

Markets4

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KALSHI

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jan 1, 2029?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 67.5¢No 32.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jan 1, 2029?

If next James Bond has been publicly released in the USA through official channels before Before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not include

KALSHI

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jul 1, 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 46.0¢No 54.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jul 1, 2028?

If next James Bond has been publicly released in the USA through official channels before Before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not include

KALSHI

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jan 1, 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 22.0¢No 78.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jan 1, 2028?

If next James Bond has been publicly released in the USA through official channels before Before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not include

KALSHI

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jul 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jul 1, 2027?

If next James Bond has been publicly released in the USA through official channels before Before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not include

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Average Yes Price

36¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/-SrekA" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="James Bond · Release Date"></iframe>

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James Bond · Release Date

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Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jan 1, 2029?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

James Bond · Release Date

Markets (4)

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jan 1, 2029?

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jan 1, 2029?

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jul 1, 2028?

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jul 1, 2028?

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jan 1, 2028?

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jan 1, 2028?

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jul 1, 2027?

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jul 1, 2027?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jan 1, 2029?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

James Bond · Release Date

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jan 1, 2029?

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jan 1, 2029?

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jul 1, 2028?

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jul 1, 2028?

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jan 1, 2028?

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jan 1, 2028?

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jul 1, 2027?

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jul 1, 2027?

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