W15 Sumter, SC: Sophie Williams vs Yael Saffar
PM $57.63
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W15 Sumter, SC: Sophie Williams vs Yael Saffar
PM $57.63
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $57.63
Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the tennis match between Sophie Williams and Yael Saffar in the W15 Sumter, SC, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sophie Williams' if Sophie Williams advances against Yael Saffar. This market will resolve to 'Yael Saffar' if Yael Saffar advances against Sophie Williams. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-28T03:00:06.402Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The main market resolves to "Sophie Williams" if she advances against Yael Saffar, and to "Yael Saffar" if Saffar advances [1]. The match is described as part of the W15 Sumter, SC Main Draw and was "originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 12:00PM ET" [1]. That scheduled time is a rule description, not a confirmed event time or a current status report.
The rules also set fallback outcomes. The market resolves 50-50 if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or has no determined winner by "November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start)" [1]. A walkover also resolves 50-50, while a retirement, default, or disqualification resolves to the player who advances [1]. The primary resolution source is the International Tennis Federation, with credible reporting possibly used as a consensus [1]. The listed end time is 2026-11-04T16:00:00.000Z [1]. That listed close time differs from the 50-50 deadline, so readers should check which date applies to their question.
Reading the snapshot
The saved prices were observed at 2026-10-28T03:00:06.402Z and retrieved at 2026-10-28T04:44:13.393Z [1]. These are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they may not reflect current pricing.
The sample contains three Polymarket markets for this event. The winner market shows Sophie Williams at 0.49 and Yael Saffar at 0.51 [1]. Two set handicap markets are also listed, with Williams at -1.5 at 0.495 and Saffar at -1.5 at 0.505 [1]. Each contract should be read on its own terms. The handicap contracts differ in wording from the winner market, so their prices should not be averaged with it or treated as the same outcome. The small gap between the two sides in each market is not evidence of an arbitrage opportunity.
The source reports no volume, liquidity, or trader count for these markets, so the snapshot cannot show how deep or active trading was.
What remains uncertain
All saved markets for this event are included and the sample is not marked partial [1]. The source still states that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. The evidence does not show match status after the snapshot, any reason for the observed prices, or whether the match was played, delayed, or affected by withdrawal. Readers should check the ITF information named in the rules for any result.
References
- Polymarket: W15 Sumter, SC: Sophie Williams vs Yael Saffar. Provider data observed 2026-10-28T03:00:06.402Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 28, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event on a women's professional tennis match, the W15 Sumter, SC Main Draw contest between Sophie Williams and Yael Saffar [1]. The event rules say the match was originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET [1]. The main contract resolves to Sophie Williams if she advances against Yael Saffar, and to Yael Saffar if she advances against Sophie Williams [1]. The rules set out several special cases. If the match is canceled without being played, ends in a tie, or has no determined winner by November 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. If a match begins but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. A walkover, where one player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. The primary resolution source is official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF), and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. The saved event lists an end time of November 4, 2026 at 16:00 UTC [1]. The saved sample contains three markets for this event. One is the main match contract, and two are set handicap contracts with a 1.5 set spread, one for each player [1]. At the observation time of 2026-10-28T03:00:06Z, the main contract showed Sophie Williams at 0.49 and Yael Saffar at 0.51, while the handicap contracts showed prices of 0.495 and 0.505 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Each contract is judged on its own rules, so differences between the main and handicap prices should not be read as an opportunity without checking the terms of each.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which of the two named players advances in this specific match, as defined by the event rules [1]. Because the rules also cover cancellations, walkovers, and unfinished matches, the contract can resolve 50-50 or to the player who advances after a retirement, default, or disqualification [1]. Readers should check the rules and the resolution source, the ITF, before relying on how a particular outcome would settle [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-28 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Who does the main contract resolve to?
It resolves to Sophie Williams if she advances against Yael Saffar, and to Yael Saffar if she advances against Sophie Williams [1].
What happens if the match is not played at all?
If the match is canceled, meaning not played at all, the market resolves 50-50 [1].
What happens if one player withdraws before the match starts?
A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, resolves 50-50 [1].
What happens if a match starts but a player retires?
If a match begins but is not completed and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
Which source determines the result?
The primary resolution source is official information from the ITF, and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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