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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

LoL: Supernova vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season

Name: LoL: Supernova vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season
End: 2026-05-02T05:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$2.40K

Events

Markets

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LoL: Supernova vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season

Vol

$2.40K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.40K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.40K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

23 markets tracked

LoL: Supernova vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(23)

Market	Platform	Price
LoL: Supernova vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season	Poly	83%
LoL: Supernova vs Blue Otter - Game 2 Winner	Poly	76%
LoL: Supernova vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winner	Poly	76%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	74%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	74%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	66%
Game Handicap: SN (-1.5) vs Blue Otter (+1.5)	Poly	60%
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	51%
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	37%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	14%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	12%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	12%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	12%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	11%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	11%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	2%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

83%

Top Probability

$2.40K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the LoL match between Supernova and Blue Otter in the North American Challengers League Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 1 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Supernova" if Supernova win the match against Blue Otter. This market will resolve to "Blue Otter" if Blue Otter win the match against Supernova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this marke

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: Supernova vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 2, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL match between Supernova and Blue Otter in the North American Challengers League Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 1 at 7:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Supernova" if Supernova win the match against Blue Otter.

This market will resolve to "Blue Otter" if Blue Otter win the match against Supernova.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this marke

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the LoL match between Supernova and Blue Otter in the North American Challengers League Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 1 at 7:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Supernova" if Supernova win the match against Blue Otter.

This market will resolve to "Blue Otter" "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $67.9K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.04)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. LoL: Supernova vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $468
  DATA: [Supernova: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [Blue Otter: 17.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. LoL: Supernova vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Supernova: 75.5% (0.0%)] | [Blue Otter: 24.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. LoL: Supernova vs Blue Otter - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Supernova: 76.0% (0.0%)] | [Blue Otter: 24.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game Handicap: SN (-1.5) vs Blue Otter (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Supernova: 59.5% (0.0%)] | [Blue Otter: 40.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $58
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

LoL: Supernova vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season

Volume$2.40K

Markets23

23 of 23

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 73.5¢No 26.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 73.5¢No 26.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 2. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 65.5¢No 34.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. This marke

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 3. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market wi

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Average Yes Price

42¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/-dZf_s" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="LoL: Supernova vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season"></iframe>

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LoL: Supernova vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season

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Educational Context

Events (1)

LoL: Supernova vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season

Markets (23)

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

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LoL: Supernova vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season

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LoL: Supernova vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

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