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Events
GroupKALSHI

Saint Sinners vs. maybe: Total Maps

Saint Sinners vs. maybe: Total Maps
Vol

K 0 contracts

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Markets

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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

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Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC

About This Event

SSINS vs. MAY (Oct 18) If over 2.5 maps are played in the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #12 2026: Saint Sinners vs. maybe CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-17T12:00:05.894Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The saved market asks whether over 2.5 maps will be played in one specific match. The source rules state that if over 2.5 maps are played in the "CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #12 2026: Saint Sinners vs. maybe CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. The wording refers to a match "originally scheduled" for that time, so the date in the rules describes the scheduled match, not a confirmed or completed event. The rules also say the market "will close and expire after the event occurs" [1].

The listed close field in the saved market is 2026-10-20T11:00:00.000Z, which is a different timestamp from the scheduled match time in the rules [1]. The event excerpt separately lists its end time as "not supplied" [1]. Readers should not treat the close field as the match time.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-17T12:00:05.894Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-17T13:10:34.279Z [1]. These are two different times. The price is a snapshot from the observation time, not a live or executable quote.

At that observation, the Yes outcome was priced at 0.495 and the No outcome at 0.505 [1]. These prices are reported as recorded values and should not be read as verified probabilities. Volume is not included in this excerpt, so it cannot be used here as a measure of liquidity.

The sample covers one market on one platform, Kalshi, for one provider event. The coverage record reports one total market, one included market, and no partial sampling [1]. No other markets or platforms are compared here, so no cross-platform averaging or arbitrage conclusion is supported.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show whether the match has been played, how many maps it will have, or whether the schedule has changed. It also does not explain why the prices are where they are. The source states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league [1], which is a reminder that the market is defined by its own rules rather than by league publications.

Readers should check the official rules and the match's actual status before drawing any conclusion from the snapshot.

References

  1. Kalshi: Saint Sinners vs. maybe: Total Maps. Provider data observed 2026-10-17T12:00:05.894Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTC

Overview

This is a Kalshi event contract tied to a Counter-Strike 2 match between Saint Sinners and maybe, listed under the title "Saint Sinners vs. maybe: Total Maps" [1]. The provider describes the match as originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT in the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #12 [1]. The single market in this event asks whether over 2.5 maps will be played [1]. Under the contract rules, the market resolves to Yes if more than 2.5 maps are played in that match, which is the same as at least three maps [1]. The phrase "originally scheduled" signals that the listed time was the planned start when the rules were written, so the match timing could differ from that figure. The provider also states that the market will close and expire after the event occurs [1]. The provider lists the market's status as active, but no listed end time for the event is supplied [1]. The application's dated snapshot governs any statement about current status. The event is categorized under Sports [1]. The source states that Kalshi is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or officially connected to the governing league, and that trademarks belong to their respective owners [1]. This matters for reading the market: it is a provider-listed contract on a third-party competition, not an official product of the league.

Why It Matters

The contract measures map count rather than the winner of the match. A Yes outcome depends only on whether the number of maps played exceeds 2.5, so it is a question about the length of the series [1]. Traders evaluating it are reacting to a single binary condition tied to one scheduled match. Because the rules key on the event occurring, the contract's resolution depends on the match being played as described [1]. The provider's rules define the resolution condition, while the price shown in any snapshot reflects only that moment and is not an executable quote.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What event does this contract depend on?

It depends on a Counter-Strike 2 match between Saint Sinners and maybe, which the provider says was originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT in the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #12 [1].

When does the market resolve to Yes?

The rules state that the market resolves to Yes if over 2.5 maps are played in that match [1]. The provider's listed end date is not an announced event date, and the source says the market closes and expires after the event occurs [1].

Is the league connected to this market?

The provider states that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League [1].

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Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Reviewed equivalent pairs

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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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