Dayana Yastremska vs Kamilla Rakhimova: Set 1 Winner
K 0 contracts
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Dayana Yastremska vs Kamilla Rakhimova: Set 1 Winner
K 0 contracts
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
2
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
Dayana Yastremska vs Kamilla Rakhimova Set 1 (Oct 16) If X wins set 1 in the Dayana Yastremska vs Kamilla Rakhimova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Ningbo Qualification Round 1, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Dayana Yastremska vs Kamilla Rakhimova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Ningbo Qualification Round 1. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation, all before the match starts, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks. If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-17T03:00:06.448Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The two markets in this snapshot are on the same Kalshi event, "Dayana Yastremska vs Kamilla Rakhimova: Set 1 Winner," covering the Set 1 result of a match in the 2026 WTA Ningbo Qualification Round 1 [1]. One market asks whether Yastremska wins set 1 and the other asks whether Rakhimova wins set 1. The rules state that "If X wins set 1 in the Dayana Yastremska vs Kamilla Rakhimova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Ningbo Qualification Round 1, then the market resolves to Yes" [1].
The rules also cover disruptions. If the match is cancelled before play starts, the market resolves "to a fair price in accordance with the rules." If it is postponed or delayed, "the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks" [1]. If a retirement occurs, markets that can be settled on completed play resolve accordingly, and others resolve to Fair Market Price [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-17T03:00:06.448Z, and the saved record was retrieved at 2026-10-17T03:06:22.831Z. This is a point-in-time record, not a live quote. Each market shows a Yes price of 0.495 and a No price of 0.505 [1]. The Yastremska market and the Rakhimova market carry identical prices in this snapshot.
The contract wording is the main point of comparison. The two markets are not interchangeable because each names a different player as the set winner, so they should be read separately. Their listed end date is 2026-10-31T02:00:00.000Z [1]. The provider's event status states "Listed end time: not supplied," and the rules say the market "will close and expire after the event occurs" [1]. The listed date is therefore a platform field, not an announced match time or confirmed finish.
The sample includes both saved markets for this event, and the record does not mark it as partial [1]. The sample covers only this one provider event, so no outcomes beyond these two are represented.
What remains uncertain
These prices are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The record does not show order book depth, the number of traders, or trading volume, so it says nothing about liquidity. The evidence does not explain why prices are at their current levels, and this analysis does not attribute any movement to news or events.
The contract does not establish that the match has been played, scheduled, or delayed. Whether the market resolves normally, through a postponement, or through a retirement depends on what happens and how the rules apply. The two prices should not be combined or treated as an arbitrage opportunity, because each reflects a separate contract at a single observation time.
References
- Kalshi: Dayana Yastremska vs Kamilla Rakhimova: Set 1 Winner. Provider data observed 2026-10-17T03:00:06.448Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi contract on the set 1 winner in a professional tennis match between Dayana Yastremska and Kamilla Rakhimova, listed as part of the 2026 WTA Ningbo Qualification Round 1 [1]. The contract is a yes or no question about one player: if the named player wins set 1, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The saved event has two markets, one asking whether Yastremska wins set 1 and one asking whether Rakhimova wins set 1, each with Yes and No outcomes [1]. Set-winner contracts of this kind reference a single set rather than the full match result, so the outcome depends only on who takes the first set. The event is listed as active in the provider data, and the provider describes the market as closing and expiring after the event occurs [1]. The event title refers to a match dated October 16, while the observation in this record was taken on October 17, 2026 [1]. The record does not state whether the match has been played, what the score is, or whether any set has finished. Anyone reading this entry should treat the status as a snapshot from the observation time rather than a live update. The contract also sets out how unusual situations are handled. If the match does not occur because of an injury, walkover, forfeiture, or another cancellation before the match starts, the market resolves to a fair price under the rules [1]. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market stays open and closes after the rescheduled match finishes, within two weeks [1]. If a retirement happens, markets that can be settled unconditionally on play already completed resolve on that basis, and any markets that cannot be settled that way resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the Exchange's sole discretion [1]. The provider notes that Kalshi is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or officially connected to the governing league, and that trademarks belong to their owners [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures one narrow result: which player wins the first set of a specific qualification match [1]. Because it resolves on a single set, it isolates an early stage of the match and does not depend on the final outcome. The yes or no structure also means the two player-specific markets in the event are framed as opposing questions about the same set [1]. The saved price for each outcome is a snapshot of market pricing at the observation time, and it is not an executable quote or a verified probability of either player winning the set. Any difference in pricing between the two markets should be read the same way, as a point-in-time market reading.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Yes outcome mean in this contract?
For each market, Yes means the player named in that market wins set 1 of the match between Dayana Yastremska and Kamilla Rakhimova [1].
What happens if the match is cancelled before it starts?
If the match does not occur because of an injury, walkover, forfeiture, or another cancellation before the match starts, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules [1].
What happens if the match is postponed?
If the match is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks [1].
How are retirements handled?
Markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange [1].
Do the prices show the chance that a player wins the set?
The saved prices are snapshots from the observation time. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, so they should not be read as the true chance that either player wins set 1 [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
