Market snapshot: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

How many Texas counties will James Talarico win in 2026?

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K 39.9K contracts

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How many Texas counties will James Talarico win in 2026?

Vol

K 39.9K contracts

Events

Markets

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Current odds

Snapshot from Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

As of Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is At least 30 at 99.5%.

Kalshi

At least 3099.5%
At least 2899.5%
At least 2699.5%
At least 2499.5%
At least 2299.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

13 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 30 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?

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Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 30 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?	Kalshi	99.5%
Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 28 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?	Kalshi	99.5%
Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 26 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?	Kalshi	99.5%
Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 24 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?	Kalshi	99.5%
Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 22 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?	Kalshi	99.5%
Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 20 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?	Kalshi	99.5%
Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 38 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?	Kalshi	99.0%
Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 32 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?	Kalshi	99.0%
Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 34 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?	Kalshi	98.5%
Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 36 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?	Kalshi	92.0%
Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 40 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?	Kalshi	68.5%
Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 42 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?	Kalshi	2.5%
Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 44 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?	Kalshi	1.0%

Rules & Resolution

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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 39.9K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Nov 3, 2026 Senate general election If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least X in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes. X county counts as won by James Talarico if he receives more votes there than any other candidate. All 254 Texas counties are counted. The first official, non-preliminary Texas Secretary of State result or statewide canvass available for the Nov 3, 2026 general election determines the count.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: How many Texas counties will James Talarico win in 2026?
Source snapshot: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 39.9K contracts
Coverage: 13 of 13 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 44 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTALARICOCOUNTIES-26NOV03-AL44; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtalaricocounties-26nov03
Observed: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 7, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 10.4K contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 44 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A county counts as won by James Talarico if he receives more votes there than any other candidate. All 254 Texas counties are counted. The first official, non-preliminary Texas Secretary of State result or statewide canvass available for the Nov 3, 2026 general election determines the count.

Contract: Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 42 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTALARICOCOUNTIES-26NOV03-AL42; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtalaricocounties-26nov03
Observed: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 7, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 3.1K contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 42 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A county counts as won by James Talarico if he receives more votes there than any other candidate. All 254 Texas counties are counted. The first official, non-preliminary Texas Secretary of State result or statewide canvass available for the Nov 3, 2026 general election determines the count.

Contract: Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 40 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTALARICOCOUNTIES-26NOV03-AL40; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtalaricocounties-26nov03
Observed: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 7, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 3.5K contracts
Outcome Yes: 68.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 31.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 40 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A county counts as won by James Talarico if he receives more votes there than any other candidate. All 254 Texas counties are counted. The first official, non-preliminary Texas Secretary of State result or statewide canvass available for the Nov 3, 2026 general election determines the count.

Contract: Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 38 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTALARICOCOUNTIES-26NOV03-AL38; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtalaricocounties-26nov03
Observed: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 7, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 126 contracts
Outcome Yes: 99.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 1.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 38 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A county counts as won by James Talarico if he receives more votes there than any other candidate. All 254 Texas counties are counted. The first official, non-preliminary Texas Secretary of State result or statewide canvass available for the Nov 3, 2026 general election determines the count.

Contract: Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 36 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTALARICOCOUNTIES-26NOV03-AL36; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtalaricocounties-26nov03
Observed: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 7, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 92.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 8.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 36 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A county counts as won by James Talarico if he receives more votes there than any other candidate. All 254 Texas counties are counted. The first official, non-preliminary Texas Secretary of State result or statewide canvass available for the Nov 3, 2026 general election determines the count.

Contract: Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 34 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTALARICOCOUNTIES-26NOV03-AL34; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtalaricocounties-26nov03
Observed: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 7, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.4K contracts
Outcome Yes: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 34 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A county counts as won by James Talarico if he receives more votes there than any other candidate. All 254 Texas counties are counted. The first official, non-preliminary Texas Secretary of State result or statewide canvass available for the Nov 3, 2026 general election determines the count.

Contract: Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 32 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTALARICOCOUNTIES-26NOV03-AL32; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtalaricocounties-26nov03
Observed: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 7, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 2.4K contracts
Outcome Yes: 99.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 1.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 32 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A county counts as won by James Talarico if he receives more votes there than any other candidate. All 254 Texas counties are counted. The first official, non-preliminary Texas Secretary of State result or statewide canvass available for the Nov 3, 2026 general election determines the count.

Contract: Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 30 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTALARICOCOUNTIES-26NOV03-AL30; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtalaricocounties-26nov03
Observed: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 7, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 3.3K contracts
Outcome Yes: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 30 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A county counts as won by James Talarico if he receives more votes there than any other candidate. All 254 Texas counties are counted. The first official, non-preliminary Texas Secretary of State result or statewide canvass available for the Nov 3, 2026 general election determines the count.

Contract: Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 28 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTALARICOCOUNTIES-26NOV03-AL28; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtalaricocounties-26nov03
Observed: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 7, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 2.4K contracts
Outcome Yes: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 28 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A county counts as won by James Talarico if he receives more votes there than any other candidate. All 254 Texas counties are counted. The first official, non-preliminary Texas Secretary of State result or statewide canvass available for the Nov 3, 2026 general election determines the count.

Contract: Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 26 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTALARICOCOUNTIES-26NOV03-AL26; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtalaricocounties-26nov03
Observed: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 7, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.2K contracts
Outcome Yes: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 26 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A county counts as won by James Talarico if he receives more votes there than any other candidate. All 254 Texas counties are counted. The first official, non-preliminary Texas Secretary of State result or statewide canvass available for the Nov 3, 2026 general election determines the count.

Contract: Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 24 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTALARICOCOUNTIES-26NOV03-AL24; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtalaricocounties-26nov03
Observed: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 7, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 5.5K contracts
Outcome Yes: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 24 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A county counts as won by James Talarico if he receives more votes there than any other candidate. All 254 Texas counties are counted. The first official, non-preliminary Texas Secretary of State result or statewide canvass available for the Nov 3, 2026 general election determines the count.

Contract: Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 22 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTALARICOCOUNTIES-26NOV03-AL22; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtalaricocounties-26nov03
Observed: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 7, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.3K contracts
Outcome Yes: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 22 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A county counts as won by James Talarico if he receives more votes there than any other candidate. All 254 Texas counties are counted. The first official, non-preliminary Texas Secretary of State result or statewide canvass available for the Nov 3, 2026 general election determines the count.

Contract: Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 20 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTALARICOCOUNTIES-26NOV03-AL20; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtalaricocounties-26nov03
Observed: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 7, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 5.2K contracts
Outcome Yes: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 20 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A county counts as won by James Talarico if he receives more votes there than any other candidate. All 254 Texas counties are counted. The first official, non-preliminary Texas Secretary of State result or statewide canvass available for the Nov 3, 2026 general election determines the count.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

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