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Events
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Provaznik Lukas vs. Kolman Leon

Provaznik Lukas vs. Kolman Leon
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Markets

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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

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Reported volume ยท provider units

4

Saved contracts

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market refers to the table tennis match between Provaznik Lukas and Kolman Leon in Setka Cup Czechia Men, scheduled for October 25 at 7:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Provaznik Lukas' if Provaznik Lukas wins against Kolman Leon. This market will resolve to 'Kolman Leon' if Kolman Leon wins against Provaznik Lukas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-24T21:00:06.013Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The source describes a table tennis match between Provaznik Lukas and Kolman Leon in Setka Cup Czechia Men, scheduled for October 25 at 7:15AM ET [1]. The main contract resolves to 'Provaznik Lukas' if that player wins and to 'Kolman Leon' if the other player wins [1]. A cancellation, a tie, or a delay beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner resolves to 50-50, and a walkover also resolves to 50-50 [1]. If a match begins but is not completed because a player retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the player who advances is the winner [1]. The primary resolution source is the official event statistics, and a consensus of credible reporting may be used if final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes [1].

The saved sample also includes a total games over or under 3.5, a total games over or under 4.5, and a game handicap of Provaznik Lukas (-1.5) versus Kolman Leon (+1.5) [1]. Each market has its own wording, so compare them only within their stated terms.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-24T21:00:06.013Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-24T22:18:40.037Z [1]. These are different moments, and the prices describe the observation time only. Every outcome in the saved sample is priced at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

All four saved markets are included, and the sample is not partial [1]. The equal prices can therefore be read across the event's saved markets, but the sample does not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed. No other platform's prices are supplied, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. Volume is not included, so the evidence says nothing about liquidity.

The listed end time is 2026-11-01T11:15:00.000Z [1]. This is a provider close setting, not an announced event date, and it differs from the scheduled match time.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show the match result, whether play has started, or any reporting after the observation. It does not explain why the prices are at 0.5, how many traders are involved, or whether a trade could be filled at these levels. The source reports the provider status as "active" at the time of the snapshot [1], but the current status is unknown. The 50-50 conditions and the consensus fallback could affect how the contract settles.

References

  1. Polymarket: Provaznik Lukas vs. Kolman Leon. Provider data observed 2026-10-24T21:00:06.013Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 24, 2026 UTC

Overview

This PredictPedia entry covers a prediction market contract on a single table tennis match, Provaznik Lukas vs. Kolman Leon, listed on Polymarket. The source describes the match as taking place in the Setka Cup Czechia Men event and scheduled for October 25 at 7:15AM ET [1]. The contract is a market on the outcome of that match, not a general market on the players' careers or rankings. The main market resolves to 'Provaznik Lukas' if that player wins and to 'Kolman Leon' if the other player wins [1]. The same event page also lists three related contracts: a total games over or under 3.5 line, a total games over or under 4.5 line, and a game handicap with Provaznik Lukas at -1.5 and Kolman Leon at +1.5 [1]. Each of these is tied to the same match and the same listed end time. The contract has specific rules for unusual outcomes. If the match is canceled without being played, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from its scheduled date without a winner being determined, the market resolves to 50-50 [1]. If a match begins but is not completed and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. If a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically in a walkover, the market also resolves to 50-50 [1]. The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1]. The source lists a contract end time of November 1, 2026 at 11:15 UTC [1].

Why It Matters

The contract measures which of two named players wins a scheduled table tennis match in the Setka Cup Czechia Men event [1]. Its price is a market snapshot that reflects trading activity at the time it was recorded, not a verified probability of either outcome. The related total games and game handicap contracts measure different features of the same match, such as how many games are played or the margin in games, and each resolves according to its own listed terms [1]. Because the rules define how cancellations, walkovers, and retirements are handled, a reader should check those terms before interpreting how the contract settles.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-24 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What outcome decides the main contract?

The contract resolves to 'Provaznik Lukas' if that player wins against Kolman Leon, and to 'Kolman Leon' if Kolman Leon wins against Provaznik Lukas [1].

What happens if the match is canceled or does not finish?

If the match is canceled and not played at all, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, the market resolves to 50-50 [1]. If the match begins but is not completed and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].

What happens if one player withdraws before the match starts?

A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, resolves the market to 50-50 [1].

Which source is used to settle the contract?

The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1].

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Saved Oct 24, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

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