Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
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Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T00:00:05.995Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract, "Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET," resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The stated resolution source is the SOL/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules say the market concerns that stream "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
Readers comparing contracts should check the wording closely. A market that uses a TWAP over a window resolves differently from one that compares a single spot price at a set moment. The listed end time is 2026-11-01T12:15:00.000Z [1]. The title uses Eastern Time, while the listed end time is in UTC, so readers should confirm how the two line up before relying on the window.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-11-01T00:00:05.995Z and retrieved at 2026-11-01T00:54:03.109Z [1]. These are two different times. The observation time is when the provider data was recorded, and the retrieval time is when this record was pulled. The contract is still listed as active in the saved data [1]. Neither time shows the market's state right now, so this description should not be read as a live view.
The saved sample contains one market from one provider event, and it is not partial. Its quoted prices are Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. Up is quoted slightly above Down in this snapshot, but a gap of 0.010 is small, and the data does not explain it. The saved record includes no volume figure, so nothing can be said about liquidity or how many traders are involved.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show how the Solana price moved during the window or what the price was at its beginning. It also does not establish whether any other platform lists a comparable contract with the same window, rules, or close time. Prices from different contracts should not be compared as if they measured the same event, and a price difference is not an arbitrage opportunity on its own. The saved sample also does not show the final outcome. Resolution depends on the Chainlink TWAP data after the listed end time, and nothing in the supplied evidence reports that result.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T00:00:05.995Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 1, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window contract titled "Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET" in the crypto category. The title identifies the measurement window as 7:10 AM to 7:15 AM Eastern Time on November 1. The listed end time is 2026-11-01T12:15:00Z, which corresponds to the close of that window [1]. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, as generated by Chainlink, over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The comparison is therefore between an average over the window and the starting price, not between the price at the start and the price at the end. The resolution source is Chainlink's SOL/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink stream for the SOL/USD pair, and not any other data source or spot market [1]. A reader comparing this contract with prices on a particular exchange should keep that distinction in mind. The source record shows the contract as active at the time it was observed [1]. Observation, retrieval and closing are separate events. The observation time records when the provider data was captured, the retrieval time records when this page was gathered, and the listed end time records when the measurement window closes. None of these is the same as the moment the contract is formally resolved, and the source excerpt does not describe the resolution outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of the Solana price over a five-minute window, as defined by a specific data feed. Because the outcome depends on a time-weighted average compared with the starting price, a short spike near the start or end of the window does not by itself decide the result. The contract is also tied to Chainlink's SOL/USD TWAP stream rather than to a general market price, so the rules, not a broader price picture, determine how it settles [1]. For someone reading the price of either outcome, the important points are the exact window, the averaging method, and the named data source.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-01 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does an "Up" outcome mean for this contract?
The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of Solana over the stated window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window [1].
Which price data determines the result?
The rules specify Chainlink's SOL/USD TWAP data stream and state that prices from other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
When does the measurement window end?
The title gives the window as 7:10 AM to 7:15 AM ET on November 1, and the listed end time in the source is 2026-11-01T12:15:00Z [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.