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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

IL-08 House Election Winner

IL-08 House Election Winner
Vol

PM $22.3K

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Events

1

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Melissa Bean (D) at 95%.

Polymarket

  1. Melissa Bean (D)95%
  2. Jennifer Davis (R)5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $22.3K

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
New Jersey 08 House General Election: voter turnout

New Jersey 08 House General Election: voter turnout

K 5.0K contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 08 House General Election be above 60000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 08 House General Election be above 75000?Yes 92%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 08 House General Election be above 90000?Yes 79.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois 08 House General Election: voter turnout

Illinois 08 House General Election: voter turnout

K 0 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Illinois 08 House General Election be above 160000?Yes 95.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Illinois 08 House General Election be above 170000?Yes 94.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Illinois 08 House General Election be above 180000?Yes 91%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia 08 House General Election: voter turnout

Georgia 08 House General Election: voter turnout

K 145.01 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Georgia 08 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Georgia 08 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 89%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Georgia 08 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 82%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
IL-17 House Election Margin of Victory

IL-17 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $45.8K · K 7.4K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the IL-17 House seat?

Kalshi: Will a Democrat win the House race for IL-17?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 96.8%Rules differK Yes 95.9%

Will the Republican Party win the IL-17 House seat?

Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for IL-17?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 3.8%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-17 House election?

Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for IL-17?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.1%Rules differK Yes 3.8%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California 08 House General Election: voter turnout

California 08 House General Election: voter turnout

K 1.2K contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 08 House General Election be above 137000?Yes 95.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 08 House General Election be above 144000?Yes 94%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 08 House General Election be above 150000?Yes 92%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IL-04 House election: Patty Garcia vote percent

IL-04 House election: Patty Garcia vote percent

K 610 contracts
Will Patty Garcia receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Patty Garcia receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?Yes 95%
Will Patty Garcia receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?Yes 88.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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