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UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Name: UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
End: 2026-05-10T03:59:59.999Z

Total Volume

$81.51K

Events

Markets

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UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Vol

$81.51K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $81.51K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $81.51K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Over/Under 0.5 Rounds	Poly	93%
Over/Under 1.5 Rounds	Poly	82%
Over/Under 2.5 Rounds	Poly	69%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Poly	57%
Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?	Poly	53%
Over/Under 4.5 Rounds	Poly	51%
Over/Under 3.5 Rounds	Poly	51%
Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?	Poly	49%
Will the fight be won by submission?	Poly	46%
Fight to Go the Distance?	Poly	24%
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Poly	19%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

93%

Top Probability

$81.51K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Sean Strickland" if Sean Strickland is officially declared the winner of the fight against Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Khamzat Chimaev" if Khamzat Chimaev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 10, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Sean Strickland" if Sean Strickland is officially declared the winner of the fight against Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026.

It will resolve to "Khamzat Chimaev" if Khamzat Chimaev is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Sean Strickland and Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.

Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Sean Strickland and Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $81.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $51.8K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.57)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Over/Under 1.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 82.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 18.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Over/Under 4.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Fight to Go the Distance?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $79.7K
  DATA: [Sean Strickland: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [Khamzat Chimaev: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $32
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the fight be won by submission?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $129
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Over/Under 0.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Over: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 7.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Over/Under 2.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 68.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 31.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Over/Under 3.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Volume$81.51K

Markets11

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POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 57.0¢No 43.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Sean Strickland and Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a dr

POLYMARKET

Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 53.0¢No 47.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean Strickland defeats Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualifi

POLYMARKET

Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Khamzat Chimaev defeats Sean Strickland at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualifi

POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by submission?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 45.5¢No 54.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the fight be won by submission?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Sean Strickland and Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will r

POLYMARKET

Fight to Go the Distance?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 24.0¢No 76.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Fight to Go the Distance?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Sean Strickland and Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decid

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54¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/0HdxsB" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)"></iframe>

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UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

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Educational Context

Events (1)

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Markets (11)

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?

Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?

Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?

Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

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Discussion

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Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?

Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?

Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?

Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

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