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Boston vs New York M: First 5 Spread

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Boston vs New York M: First 5 Spread

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Polymarket

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0.0%avg

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4 markets tracked

New York M wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

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Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
New York M wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?	Kalshi	32%
Boston wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?	Kalshi	25%
New York M wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?	Kalshi	21%
Boston wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?	Kalshi	16%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

32%

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$0.00

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About This Event

BOS vs NYM (Jul 10) If New York M wins by more than X runs in the first 5 innings of the Boston vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished, within two days. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Boston vs New York M: First 5 Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** BOS vs NYM (Jul 10)

If New York M wins by more than X runs in the first 5 innings of the Boston vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished, within two days. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If New York M wins by more than 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the Boston vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close a"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. New York M wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. New York M wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Boston wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Boston wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Boston vs New York M: First 5 Spread

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KALSHI

New York M wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 31.5¢No 68.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

New York M wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

If New York M wins by more than 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the Boston vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close a

KALSHI

Boston wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 24.5¢No 75.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Boston wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

If Boston wins by more than 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the Boston vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after

KALSHI

New York M wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

New York M wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

If New York M wins by more than 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the Boston vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close a

KALSHI

Boston wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Boston wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

If Boston wins by more than 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the Boston vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/0MdKhd" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Boston vs New York M: First 5 Spread"></iframe>

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Boston vs New York M: First 5 Spread

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New York M wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

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Events (1)

Boston vs New York M: First 5 Spread

Markets (4)

New York M wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

New York M wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

Boston wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

Boston wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

New York M wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

New York M wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

Boston wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

Boston wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

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New York M wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

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Boston vs New York M: First 5 Spread

New York M wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

New York M wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

Boston wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

Boston wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

New York M wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

New York M wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

Boston wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

Boston wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

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