Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
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Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T18:00:06.010Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket contract, "Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET," resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP over the stated window is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The source specifies that only the Chainlink TWAP data stream counts, "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a Solana market on another platform should check whether that market uses the same data stream, window, and comparison rule before treating the two as the same question.
The listed end time is 2026-10-28T15:40:00.000Z [1]. That is the provider's listed close, not a resolution. The contract title uses ET, while the listed end time is in UTC, so readers should compare the two carefully.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-10-27T18:00:06Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-27T18:34:27Z [1]. The quoted prices are "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These figures describe that observation only. They are not live prices, executable quotes, or verified probabilities.
The sample contains one market from one provider event, and the coverage record marks it as complete for that saved event [1]. Because there is only one outcome pair, there is no other contract to rank against it, and nothing here shows which side the market favored beyond the two quoted numbers. The evidence does not include volume or any measure of trader participation, so it cannot say how liquid the market is or how many people hold each view.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the quoted prices are where they are. It also does not show whether the price has changed since the observation time. Its source note states that the saved markets "do not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1], though this contract is a binary Up or Down pair.
The record also does not include the Chainlink TWAP value, the starting price for the window, or the final result. Until the window closes and the resolution source is checked, the outcome is unknown.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T18:00:06.010Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term crypto contract on the price of Solana (SOL) against the U.S. dollar, listed on Polymarket under the title "Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET" [1]. The contract covers a five-minute window stated in its title. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana over that window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the window, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The measurement is set by the contract rules rather than by general market prices. The source states that the market concerns the price in the Chainlink TWAP data stream for the SOL/USD pair, and not any other source or spot market [1]. A trader reading the contract should therefore focus on that specific data stream and its averaging method, not on the price shown on a particular exchange. At the observation time of the saved data, the Up outcome was priced at 0.505 and the Down outcome at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices from one moment. They are not executable quotes and should not be read as verified probabilities of the outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow question: whether the average SOL/USD price over a set five-minute window, as recorded in a specific Chainlink data stream, finishes at or above where the window started [1]. Because it uses an average rather than a single closing price, a brief spike or dip near the end of the window does not by itself decide the outcome. The listed end time of 2026-10-28T15:40:00Z corresponds to 11:40 AM Eastern Time on October 28, which is the close of the window in the title [1]. The end time is the scheduled close of the contract, and the saved data does not show that the contract has resolved.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Up outcome require?
The Up outcome requires the time-weighted average price of Solana over the stated window to be greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window, according to Chainlink's SOL/USD TWAP data stream [1].
Which price data determines the result?
The result is based on the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream. The source says the market is not based on any other sources or spot markets [1].
Do the listed prices show the chance of Up or Down?
The saved prices were Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 at the observation time [1]. These are snapshots from a single moment and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
When does the contract close?
The listed end time is 2026-10-28T15:40:00Z, which matches the 11:40 AM ET end of the window named in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
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