Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T12:00:06.222Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This Polymarket event asks whether the ZCash price moves up or down over a short window. The rules say the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"." [1] The title gives the window as 6:55AM to 7:00AM ET on October 26. [1]

The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets." [1] A reader comparing this contract with other ZCash markets should check that each one uses the same source, averaging method, and window before comparing wording or prices.

The listed end time is 2026-10-26T11:00:00.000Z. [1] The title uses Eastern Time, while the listed end time is in UTC, so readers should convert the two themselves rather than assume they match.

Reading the snapshot

The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-25T12:00:06.222Z and retrieved at 2026-10-25T13:22:23.563Z. [1] These are different times, and the observation is the provider's price record, not a live quote. The snapshot is the only evidence for prices here, and it should not be read as the price now.

The snapshot shows one market in this event, with the "Up" outcome at 0.5 and the "Down" outcome at 0.5. [1] These are recorded prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Because the two outcomes are equal in this snapshot, it records no difference between them at that moment. The event is the only one covered, and the sample is not partial: the saved event includes one of one markets. [1] Volume and the number of traders are not part of this evidence, so nothing here indicates how much activity or liquidity sits behind these prices.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why the prices were where they were, and it contains no information about ZCash news or trading conditions. It also does not show whether the TWAP will finish at or above the starting price, which is the condition that produces "Up" under the rules. [1] The rules' use of "greater than or equal to" means an exact tie resolves to "Up." [1]

The sample also has a limit: it covers only the saved provider event, and the provider notes that including all saved markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome." [1] Any later comparison should be made against a newly retrieved snapshot.

References

1. Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T12:00:06.222Z.