Mukono Super Smash T20: Bussana vs Kalagi - Toss Match Double
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Mukono Super Smash T20: Bussana vs Kalagi - Toss Match Double
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is BUS at 50%.
Polymarket
- BUS50%
- Draw50%
- KAL50%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Bussana and Kalagi scheduled for 2026-07-31 in Mukono Super Smash T20. The outcome corresponding to Bussana will be considered correct if Bussana is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Kalagi will be considered correct if Kalagi is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket event combines the pre-match coin toss with the final match result for the Bussana and Kalagi cricket match. The Bussana outcome is correct only if Bussana is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match, and the Kalagi outcome works the same way for Kalagi [1]. In all other cases, including where the toss and match winners differ or no match winner is recorded, the market resolves to "Draw" [1]. The rules treat DLS/DRS adjustments, forfeits, and Super Over tiebreaks as ordinary wins, and a permanently canceled or abandoned match also resolves to "Draw" [1]. A postponed match keeps the market open until the listed fixture is completed [1].
The rules list a scheduled date of 2026-07-31 and an end time of 2026-08-07T07:00:00.000Z [1]. These are contract terms, not confirmed event outcomes.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this record at 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T03:12:23.338Z [1]. These times describe when the record was captured, not current market conditions. Each of the three saved markets (Bussana Winner, Draw, and Kalagi Winner) shows a Yes price of 0.5 and a No price of 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and the record contains no volume or trader information.
The three contracts describe different outcomes, so their matching prices should not be averaged or treated as one probability distribution. The sample includes all three saved markets for this event, with no partial sample flag [1]. The saved record does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome.
The listed end time is earlier than the observation time, yet the record reports the status as "active" at observation [1]. The snapshot therefore cannot show whether the contract has closed or resolved.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include the toss result, the match result, or any official resolution. It also does not explain the 0.5 prices. Whether these contracts are still open when you read this is unknown from this record, so check the provider directly. The rules describe how a postponement would be handled, but the evidence contains no postponement or rescheduling update.
References
- Polymarket: Mukono Super Smash T20: Bussana vs Kalagi - Toss Match Double. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event tied to a cricket match between Bussana and Kalagi in the Mukono Super Smash T20 competition [1]. The event combines two conditions: the result of the pre-match coin toss and the official winner of the match. The contract rules say the match was scheduled for 31 July 2026, and they list an end time of 7 August 2026 [1]. The event has three markets: one for a Bussana outcome, one for a Kalagi outcome, and one for "Draw" [1]. The Bussana outcome is correct only if Bussana is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The Kalagi outcome works the same way for Kalagi [1]. Any other result, including a case where the toss winner and match winner are different teams, or where no match winner is recorded, resolves the market to "Draw" [1]. The rules also explain how unusual outcomes are handled. Duckworth-Lewis-Stern or DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeits, walkovers, and Super Overs are treated as ordinary wins if they lead to a declared match winner. If a tied match is decided by an on-field tiebreak such as a Super Over, the tiebreak winner counts as the match winner. If a tie has no tiebreak, the market resolves to "Draw" [1]. A match that is permanently canceled, abandoned, or completed without an official winner also resolves to "Draw" [1]. A postponed or rescheduled match keeps the market open until the listed fixture is completed [1]. The snapshot shows each market with a Yes price of 0.5 and a No price of 0.5, and each market is listed as active [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The event status is also recorded only as of the observation time, so it does not show what has happened since.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a combined event: whether one specified team wins both the coin toss and the official match result [1]. Because the "Draw" market covers every other case, including split toss and match winners, cancellations without a winner, and tied matches without a tiebreak, the three markets together cover the outcomes described in the rules [1]. Understanding these rules is important because the match result alone does not decide the Bussana or Kalagi markets.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What must happen for the Bussana market to resolve as correct?
Bussana must be officially recorded as winning both the pre-match coin toss and the match [1].
What happens if the toss winner and the match winner are different teams?
The market resolves to "Draw" in that case [1].
How is a tied match handled?
If the match is decided by an on-field tiebreak such as a Super Over, the tiebreak winner is treated as the match winner. If there is no tiebreak used or available, the market resolves to "Draw" [1].
What happens if the match is postponed?
A postponed or rescheduled match keeps the market open until the listed fixture is completed, and then the market resolves under the normal rules [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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