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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

De Graafschap vs. RKC Waalwijk - Halftime Result

De Graafschap vs. RKC Waalwijk - Halftime Result
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Events

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Markets

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Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 22, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Draw at 35.5%.

Polymarket

  1. Draw35.5%
  2. De Graafschap32.5%
  3. RKC Waalwijk31.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

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Reported volume ยท provider units

3

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 22, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

In the upcoming Netherlands Eerste Divisie game between De Graafschap and RKC Waalwijk, scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-21T09:00:05.913Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The saved Polymarket event covers the halftime result of the De Graafschap vs. RKC Waalwijk match in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie. The provider describes the markets as covering "the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time" [1]. That wording matters: a reader should check whether a halftime question is judged on that window or on the score at the whiteboard, because the rule text defines the outcome.

Three contracts are included. One asks whether the match is a draw at halftime, another whether De Graafschap leads at halftime, and the third whether RKC Waalwijk leads at halftime [1]. Each contract is a separate question with its own Yes and No prices, so the three are not alternative answers to one question.

The provider lists an end time of 2026-10-23T18:00:00.000Z for all three contracts [1]. This is a listed close time, not a resolution. The supplied evidence does not show how or when any contract was settled.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 09:00 UTC on 21 October 2026, and the record was retrieved at 11:51 UTC the same day [1]. They describe that moment only. They are not live quotes, executable prices, or verified probabilities.

The snapshot shows a Yes price of 0.355 for a halftime draw, 0.325 for De Graafschap leading at halftime, and 0.325 for RKC Waalwijk leading at halftime [1]. The draw contract's No price is 0.645, and each lead contract's No price is 0.675 [1]. Adding the Yes prices of the three contracts gives 1.005. This sum is a snapshot figure, not a probability distribution, and the evidence does not explain the gap.

The coverage record shows all three saved markets were included, with no partial sample flagged [1]. The sample warning states that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. Volume data was not included, so it cannot be used to judge liquidity.

What remains uncertain

The supplied evidence does not explain why any price is where it is, and no recent news or trading activity is available to explain it. It also does not show how many participants hold each position. Comparing these prices with other platforms would require matching contract wording and close times first. Differences in wording or close time can make two prices unlike, so a difference in price is not an arbitrage opportunity on its own.

References

  1. Polymarket: De Graafschap vs. RKC Waalwijk - Halftime Result. Provider data observed 2026-10-21T09:00:05.913Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 21, 2026 UTC

Overview

Polymarket lists an event for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie match between De Graafschap and RKC Waalwijk, which the listing schedules for October 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET [1]. The event contains halftime result markets covering home, draw and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time [1]. Three markets are saved for this event. One asks whether the match is a draw at halftime. The other two ask whether De Graafschap is leading at halftime and whether RKC Waalwijk is leading at halftime [1]. Each market has Yes and No outcomes. In the observation recorded at 09:00 UTC on October 21, 2026, the Yes price for a halftime draw was 0.355, and the Yes prices for either team leading at halftime were each 0.325 [1]. These figures are provider snapshots from that observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. The listed end time for these markets is 18:00 UTC on October 23, 2026 [1]. That timestamp is the contract's listed end time, not a record of when the match was played or when the markets were settled. The provider status at observation was active [1].

Why It Matters

The contracts measure the score state at halftime rather than the final result of the match. Each market asks about one condition: a draw at halftime, De Graafschap leading at halftime, or RKC Waalwijk leading at halftime [1]. The halftime window is defined as the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time [1]. Because the markets are tied to that window, they describe a point within the match, and a reader should check the exact wording of each market before interpreting its Yes or No outcome.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-21 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the halftime draw market measure?

The draw market asks whether the match is level at halftime, within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time [1].

Does this event include a full-time result market?

The saved event describes halftime result markets only, covering the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time [1]. The saved markets do not include a full-time result market.

Do the prices show the likelihood of each outcome?

The prices are snapshots from one observation time, so they are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The observed Yes prices were 0.355 for a halftime draw and 0.325 for each team leading at halftime [1].

Are all possible outcomes included in this sample?

All saved markets for this event are included, but the saved data does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome [1].

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Saved Oct 21, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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