Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
PM $0
1
1
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ETH/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-24T03:00:05.981Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET." The rules state that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the ETH/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules specify that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ETH/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The saved record lists an end time of 2026-10-24T07:45:00.000Z [1]. That is the listed close time for this contract, not an announced event or a confirmed resolution. The record does not show how or when the contract was resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The saved prices are Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. The provider observed these at 2026-10-24T03:00:05.981Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-24T05:58:13.936Z [1]. These are snapshot prices from the observation time. They are not current quotes, executable prices, or verified probabilities, and they do not show what a trader could buy or sell now.
The sample covers one market from one platform. The coverage record shows one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. Because only one contract is included, there is no cross-platform comparison here. The Up and Down prices should not be read as a forecast of Ethereum's direction. The saved record also gives no information about trading volume, liquidity, or the number of participants, so the prices cannot be read as a measure of how many people agree.
What remains uncertain
The record does not establish the price of Ethereum at the start of the window, the TWAP value during the window, or the final outcome. It also does not show the market's status after the retrieval time. The saved provider status is "active" at the time of the record [1], but that does not confirm the current status.
The source notes that all saved markets for this event are included, but it also says this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. For this binary contract, the two listed outcomes are shown together in the record. No other outcome prices are supplied.
References
- Polymarket: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-24T03:00:05.981Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 24, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-interval crypto contract on Polymarket titled "Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET" [1]. The contract asks whether the price of Ethereum will finish a five-minute window higher or lower than it started. The provider's rules state that the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum over the window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The price used is not a general market price. The rules specify the Chainlink ETH/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second TWAP, and they state that other sources and spot markets do not determine the outcome [1]. Because the reference is a time-weighted average rather than a single trade, the result depends on the average across the window compared with the starting level, not simply on where the price is at the final moment [1]. The listed end time for the window is 2026-10-24T07:45:00Z, which is 3:45 AM Eastern on the date in the title [1]. That end time is a contract timing rule, not a record that the window has closed or that the market has resolved. The provider observation in this entry shows the market as active at the time it was saved [1]. In that snapshot, the "Up" outcome was priced at 0.505 and the "Down" outcome at 0.495 [1]. These are observed prices at one moment. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome. The saved event includes one market, and it is the only market in the sample for this event [1]. Nothing in the supplied material describes trading activity, liquidity, or the number of participants.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether Ethereum's Chainlink TWAP over a specific five-minute window, 3:40 to 3:45 AM Eastern on October 24, 2026, is at or above the level at the start of that window [1]. Because the outcome depends on a defined data stream and window, the contract is narrowly scoped. It does not measure Ethereum's price in general, and it does not depend on spot exchange prices [1]. Readers should check the provider's rules for the exact conditions before interpreting any price shown for it.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-24 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What price determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
The market uses the time-weighted average price of Ethereum generated by Chainlink over the stated window, specifically the ETH/USD TWAP data stream [1].
What happens if the average equals the starting price?
Under the provider's rules, the market resolves to "Up" when the TWAP is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the range [1].
Do spot markets affect the outcome?
No. The provider states that the market concerns the Chainlink TWAP data stream and not other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the window end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-24T07:45:00Z, which corresponds to 3:45 AM Eastern on the date in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
PM $0Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
PM $0
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
PM $0
XRP Up or Down - October 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
PM $0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
PM $0
BNB Up or Down - October 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.