What will McDonald's say during their next earnings call?
K 34.54 contracts
1
20
What will McDonald's say during their next earnings call?
K 34.54 contracts
1
20
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Loyalty at 88.5%.
Kalshi
- Loyalty88.5%
- Red Bull82%
- Happy Meal79%
- McCrispy76%
- Delivery76%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 34.54 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
20
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
On Feb 10, 2027 If X is said by any McDonald's Corporation representative, including the operator of the call, during the next McDonald's Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast, including the Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of McDonald's Corporation earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of McDonald's Corporation earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. Payout criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-02T18:00:06.045Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This event asks whether specific words will be said during McDonald's Corporation's next earnings call [1]. The rule text states that a market "resolves to Yes" if "X is said by any McDonald's Corporation representative, including the operator of the call, during the next McDonald's Corporation earnings call, including the Q+A" [1]. The payout criteria count "The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word," but do not count "Grammatical/tense inflections" [1]. Resolution relies on the call video, with transcripts used if Kalshi employees cannot reach a consensus from the video [1]. The contract also says the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1].
Each market tracks a different word or phrase, so wording differences matter. The event text reads "On Nov 4, 2026," while the individual markets list an end time of 2026-11-18T15:00:00Z [1]. The evidence does not explain this gap, and it does not confirm when the call takes place or when any market will settle.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-11-02T18:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-11-02T19:02:16Z [1]. They describe that earlier moment and should not be read as live prices. The sample covers 12 of 20 markets on this Kalshi event, so it is a partial sample [1].
Within that sample, Yes prices run from 0.39 for the Big Arch market to 0.89 for the Dividend market [1]. For example, Dividend shows Yes at 0.89 and No at 0.11, while Supply Chain shows Yes at 0.42 and No at 0.58 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The sample was ordered by Yes price, but the eight omitted markets are not shown, so the evidence gives no basis for describing their prices.
The evidence does not include trading volume or the number of traders, so it cannot show how much liquidity supports these prices or how many participants agree.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices are where they are, and it contains no news about the call. It does not show whether any word has already been said. Only one platform appears, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. Differences between markets reflect different words, a partial sample, and listed times that are not fully explained, so they should not be treated as an arbitrage opportunity. The event-level end time was marked as not supplied [1].
References
- Kalshi: What will McDonald's say during their next earnings call?. Provider data observed 2026-11-02T18:00:06.045Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 2, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event asking what McDonald's will say during its next earnings call. The contract rules state that the market resolves to Yes if a specified word or phrase is said by any McDonald's Corporation representative, including the operator of the call, during the next earnings call, including the question-and-answer session [1]. The rules give the call date as November 4, 2026 [1]. That date appears in the contract text as the event's scheduled date. It is not an independent confirmation of when the call will take place. Resolution works from the video recording of the call. If Kalshi employees cannot reach a consensus using the video, the rules say transcripts of the call will be used, following the news publications listed in the contract [1]. The payout criteria count the exact word or phrase, along with plural or possessive forms. Grammatical or tense inflections do not count [1]. A word used in a different form may therefore not satisfy a market, depending on the exact wording of that market's phrase. Each phrase in this event is its own binary market with Yes and No outcomes. The event page lists the markets under several phrase labels, including Dividend, Monopoly, McValue (3+ times), Competition, Loyalty, Red Bull, McCrispy, Happy Meal, Delivery, Revenue, Supply Chain and Big Arch [1]. The rules also say the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. Kalshi states on the event page that it is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or officially connected to McDonald's Corporation, and that trademarks belong to their respective owners [1]. The supplied market data covers only part of the event. Twelve of the event's twenty markets are included, selected by Yes price in the saved snapshot [1]. The omitted markets are not described here, and their absence does not indicate anything about their prices. Market prices are snapshots of the saved data, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The dated snapshot and scope note accompany this entry.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether specific words or phrases are spoken during a single McDonald's earnings call. It is a mentions market, so its outcome depends on the transcript or recording of that call rather than on financial results or company performance. The rules require an exact match of the phrase, including plural and possessive forms, while excluding grammatical and tense inflections [1]. Resolution relies on the video of the call and, if needed, on transcripts from the publications named in the contract [1]. Because the market closes early if the event occurs, the contract's status depends on the call itself and the rules set out in the event listing [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-02 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What event does this contract cover?
The contract covers the next McDonald's Corporation earnings call. It resolves to Yes if a specified word or phrase is said by any McDonald's Corporation representative, including the operator, during the call, including the Q+A [1].
How is the outcome determined?
Resolution is based on the video of the earnings call. If Kalshi employees cannot reach a consensus using the video, transcripts of the call are used according to the news publications listed in the contract [1].
Do plural or possessive forms count?
Yes. The payout criteria count the exact phrase or word, plus plural or possessive forms. Grammatical or tense inflections do not count [1].
When does the market close?
The contract rules state that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The contract rules give November 4, 2026 as the call date [1]. The event data lists a market end date of November 18, 2026, but the source does not describe that date as an announced event date [1].
Do the market prices show the likelihood of each phrase being said?
No. The supplied prices are snapshots from the saved market data and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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