BNB Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
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BNB Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract on the BNB price direction over a five-minute window, titled "BNB Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET" [1]. The rules state that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream, not other sources or spot markets [1]. The rules therefore depend on the averaged Chainlink feed, so a reader should not assume that a spot price on another exchange determines the outcome.
The title expresses the window in Eastern Time, while the provider lists the end time as 2026-10-26T22:10:00.000Z [1]. Comparing these two formats is necessary before treating the window as settled.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation was recorded at 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-26T00:50:35.658Z [1]. These are different moments. The prices below describe the observation time, not the time of retrieval or any later moment.
At observation, the saved prices were Up 0.505 and Down 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot quotes. They are not executable prices, and they are not verified probabilities. The excerpt also records the provider status as active at the time of observation [1].
The saved sample includes one market from one event, and the coverage record marks it as complete for that event [1]. No other outcomes or platforms are included, so there is no basis for comparing this contract with other markets or combining rankings. The sample does not show trading volume, so it says nothing about liquidity or the number of participants.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices stood where they did, and this response does not attempt to. It also does not show any price movement over time, since only one observation is available.
The evidence does not include the BNB price at the start of the window or any TWAP value during it, so the direction of the outcome cannot be determined from the supplied material. The snapshot cannot indicate the result of the contract, and the resolution would only be known after the window closes and the rules are applied to the Chainlink data.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term crypto contract on BNB, a token, that asks whether its price will be higher or lower over a fixed window. The title, BNB Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET, names the window as a five-minute period on October 26 in Eastern Time. The contract is published on Polymarket, and its listed end time is 2026-10-26T22:10:00Z [1]. The rules tie resolution to a time-weighted average price rather than a single trade. The market resolves to "Up" if the TWAP of BNB over the stated time range is at or above the price at the start of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The price used is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream published by Chainlink, and the rules state that the market concerns this specific Chainlink feed and not other sources or spot markets [1]. A contract on this basis can therefore differ from a question about where BNB trades on any particular exchange at a given moment. The contract's status is listed as active in the source record [1]. The saved sample for this event contains one market with two outcomes, Up and Down, and no other markets from the provider event are included [1]. That sample describes what was saved, not a settled result or a forecast of how the window will end.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of BNB's price over a short, fixed window, as reported by one specified oracle feed. Because the rule compares the window's time-weighted average with the price at the start of the window, a short spike near the end does not decide the outcome on its own [1]. Anyone reading the contract should check the exact feed and timing in the rules, since those determine resolution [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What price determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The contract uses the time-weighted average price of BNB over the stated time range, as generated by Chainlink. If that average is at or above the price at the start of the range, the market resolves Up. Otherwise it resolves Down [1].
Which data source is used for resolution?
The resolution source is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink. The rules say the market concerns that feed and not other sources or spot markets [1].
When does this contract end?
The source lists an end time of 2026-10-26T22:10:00Z, which corresponds to the 6:10PM ET end of the title's window [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.