Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T03:00:05.892Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This market asks whether the Hyperliquid price will finish the 7:00 AM to 7:05 AM ET window higher or lower than where it started. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) for the window "is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"." [1] The resolution source is "the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream" from Chainlink, and the contract states that it is "not according to any other sources or spot markets." [1]
The listed end time is 2026-10-31T11:05:00.000Z, which matches the 7:05 AM ET close in the title. [1] Readers comparing this with other Hyperliquid contracts should check the wording and listed close times first. A market settled on a spot exchange price, a different averaging method, or a different window would not measure the same outcome, even if the title sounds similar.
Reading the snapshot
The saved prices were observed at 2026-10-31T03:00:05.892Z. [1] At that observation, the "Up" outcome was priced at 0.505 and the "Down" outcome at 0.495. [1] These figures are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The two prices sum to 1.00 in this record, but that does not establish that a trader could buy either side at those levels.
The source was retrieved at 2026-10-31T07:47:32.245Z, and the provider reported the market as "active" at that retrieval. [1] Because the observation is about four and a half hours older than the retrieval, the prices should not be read as the current market. The listed window had not started at the retrieval time, so the outcome was still undetermined.
The saved event contains one market, and the coverage record marks it as complete, with no partial sample. [1] This is a single binary contract, so no outcome is missing from the saved event. The record does not include volume, liquidity, or trader counts, so the snapshot cannot show how deep the market is or how many participants it has.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices stood at 0.505 and 0.495, and it does not show how they have changed since the observation. It also does not include any other platforms' prices for this window, so no cross-platform comparison is possible from these sources. The final result will depend on the Chainlink TWAP data after the listed end time, which is not included in the evidence.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T03:00:05.892Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-window crypto price contract on Polymarket, titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET." It asks whether the price of HYPE/USD over a five-minute window will finish at or above where it started. The contract is listed in the crypto category and is tied to a single event [1]. The rules state that the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. Because the measure is an average over the window rather than a single trade, a brief spike at the start or end does not by itself determine the outcome under these rules. The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream published by Chainlink [1]. The rules say the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink stream and not according to other sources or spot markets [1]. A contract on the same asset that used a different data source could therefore resolve differently, so the named source matters. The listed end time is 2026-10-31T11:05:00.000Z, which corresponds to the 7:05 AM Eastern close in the title [1]. That end time is the contract's closing point. The record of prices in this article was captured at an earlier observation time, before the window began, so it does not describe conditions during the window or at resolution.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average HYPE/USD price over a five-minute window is at or above the price at the start of that window, as reported in the named Chainlink data stream [1]. It is a direction-of-movement question over a very short interval, and its answer depends on the stated data source and averaging method rather than on any exchange's last trade. Readers comparing it with other crypto contracts should check each contract's source and window, since the rules explicitly limit this one to the Chainlink stream [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-31 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
How does this contract decide between Up and Down?
It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the stated range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
Which price data counts for resolution?
The stated resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink. The rules say the market is about the price in that stream and not about other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the contract close?
The listed end time is 2026-10-31T11:05:00.000Z, which matches the 7:05 AM ET end of the window named in the title [1].
What do the displayed prices represent?
At the observation time recorded for this article, the Up outcome was priced at 0.505 and the Down outcome at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot values from one moment, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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