Jacksonville vs Tennessee: Passing Yards
K 2.5K contracts
1
19
K 2.5K contracts
1
19
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Trevor Lawrence: 150+ at 92%.
Kalshi
- Trevor Lawrence: 150+92%
- Cam Ward: 125+86%
- Trevor Lawrence: 175+83.5%
- Cam Ward: 150+78%
- Trevor Lawrence: 200+76.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 2.5K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
19
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Snapshot observed Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This event covers passing yards for two quarterbacks, Trevor Lawrence and Cam Ward, in a Jacksonville vs. Tennessee game that the contract describes as "originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026" [1]. Each market is a threshold question. For example, the "Cam Ward: 200+ passing yards" market resolves to Yes if he records the stated number of passing yards [1].
The contract also covers an unusual case. If a player is active but does not appear in any live play, the market "settles to the fair market price before game start" [1]. Settlement can therefore differ from a simple win or loss, so the rules matter as much as the price.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, and the record was retrieved at Nov 14, 2026, 1:23 AM UTC [1]. These are historical snapshot times, not a live view of today's market. The market data lists an end date of Nov 17, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, but the provider excerpt states "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. Treat that field as a provider entry, not a confirmed game time.
Within this sample, Yes prices generally fall as the threshold rises. Trevor Lawrence's 150+ market shows Yes at 0.915, while Cam Ward's 250+ market shows Yes at 0.22 [1]. A price is a snapshot, not an executable quote or a verified probability.
Coverage is partial. Twelve of 19 Kalshi markets are included, and the provider reports 2,291 contracts of volume for its own event [1]. Volume is not liquidity or a count of traders. Markets were selected by highest Yes price, so the seven omitted markets cannot be inferred from this sample.
What remains uncertain
Only one provider's event is supplied, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. The evidence does not explain why prices are where they are. The outcome depends on recorded passing yards under the contract rules, and the evidence contains no result. The prices of the omitted markets are unknown.
References
- Kalshi: Jacksonville vs Tennessee: Passing Yards. Provider data observed Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC.
Snapshot observed Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Kalshi event lists separate contracts on passing yards for two quarterbacks, Trevor Lawrence and Cam Ward, in the "Jacksonville vs Tennessee Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026" [1]. Each contract asks whether a player records a stated number of passing yards. The rules say that "If Cam Ward records X passing yards in the Jacksonville vs Tennessee Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. The word "originally" means the listed date is not confirmed as the final play date. The source does not supply a listed end time for the event [1]. The contract data shows a close timestamp of Nov 17, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, which is a market closing time, not a confirmed game time or result [1].
Settlement has two branches. If a player is active but never appears in a live play, the market settles to the fair market price before game start [1]. Once a player appears in at least one live play, the market settles on the passing yards recorded, even if a play is nullified by penalty [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, and the source was retrieved at Nov 14, 2026, 1:23 AM UTC [1]. These prices describe that earlier snapshot only. They are not live conditions, executable quotes, or verified probabilities.
In the included sample, Trevor Lawrence 150+ passing yards has a Yes price of 0.915, and Cam Ward 125+ passing yards has a Yes price of 0.86 [1]. Higher thresholds show lower Yes prices, such as Cam Ward 250+ passing yards at 0.22 [1]. Each player and threshold is a separate contract. A Trevor Lawrence price should not be averaged with, or compared against, a Cam Ward price as if they measured the same outcome.
What remains uncertain
Only 12 of 19 Kalshi markets are included. The sample ranks markets by highest Yes price, so the seven omitted markets are not shown and should not be read as lower-priced [1]. The reported volume of 2,291 contracts is the provider's own total for this event and does not measure liquidity or the number of traders [1]. The source does not explain any price movement, and no other platform is included, so price differences between contracts do not establish an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Kalshi: Jacksonville vs Tennessee: Passing Yards. Provider data observed Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 14, 2026 UTCOverview
This Kalshi contract is a passing yards market tied to the Jacksonville vs Tennessee Pro Football game that the provider lists as originally scheduled for November 15, 2026 [1]. Each contract asks whether a named quarterback will record at least a stated number of passing yards in that game. The market sample includes contracts for Trevor Lawrence and Cam Ward at several yardage thresholds, such as 150+, 175+, and 225+ yards [1]. The contract rules state that if the named player records X passing yards, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The rules also address a player who is active but never appears in a live play. In that case, the market settles to the fair market price before game start [1]. Once the player appears in at least one live play, the market settles based on passing yards recorded, even if that play is nullified by a penalty [1]. The provider also says the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The listed end date in the market records is November 17, 2026 at 18:00 UTC [1]. That date is a field in the market data, not an announced game date or a confirmed resolution date. The provider's own event page does not supply a listed end time [1]. The price figures shown in the market records are snapshots of Yes and No prices at a single point in time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of any outcome. For example, the Trevor Lawrence 150+ passing yards contract showed a Yes price of 0.915 and a No price of 0.085 in the sample [1]. Price differences between contracts at different thresholds reflect the prices recorded for those specific contracts and do not by themselves indicate an opportunity.
Historical Context
The Wikipedia excerpt for Trevor Lawrence reports that he was selected first overall by the Jaguars in the 2021 NFL draft [3]. It also says he won the 2019 National Championship Game as a freshman with the Clemson Tigers, led the Jaguars to a division title in his second season, and led the team to another division title in 2025 [3]. These are historical facts from the retrieved excerpt and do not describe the status of the November 2026 game.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single player's passing yards in one scheduled game, using thresholds set by the provider [1]. Traders and observers can use the recorded prices to see how the market values each threshold at the time of the snapshot, but the prices are not guarantees of outcome. The contract's resolution depends on the provider's rules, including how an inactive or non-playing quarterback is handled and what happens if the event occurs early [1]. The market sample is partial. It includes 12 of the 19 markets the provider reports for this event, and the 2,291 contracts reported by Kalshi are that provider's own volume figure [1]. Volume measures contracts traded on that platform in its own units. It is not a measure of liquidity or the number of traders.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-14 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a passing yards contract resolve on?
According to the provider's rules, a contract resolves to Yes if the named quarterback records the stated number of passing yards in the game [1].
What happens if the quarterback is active but never plays?
The rules say that if the player is active but does not appear in any live play, the market settles to the fair market price before game start [1].
What happens if the quarterback appears in a play that is later nullified?
The rules state that once the player appears in at least one live play, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on passing yards recorded [1].
Are the listed prices the same as probabilities?
No. The prices are snapshots from a single observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
Does the trading volume show how many people are trading?
No. The reported volume is the total the provider reports for its own event, in its own units, and it does not measure liquidity or the number of traders [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
