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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Olivia Rodrigo 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' First Week Album Sales?

Name: Olivia Rodrigo 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' First Week Album Sales?
End: 2026-06-19T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.05K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Olivia Rodrigo 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' First Week Album Sales?

Vol

$1.05K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.05K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.05K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?	Poly	50%
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?	Poly	40%
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?	Poly	37%
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	Poly	28%
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 250k and 300k?	Poly	13%
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 200k and 250k?	Poly	9%
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be less than 200k?	Poly	8%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$1.05K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Olivia Rodrigo's new album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' is expected to release June 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' has not been released by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets,

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Olivia Rodrigo 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' First Week Album Sales?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 19, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** Olivia Rodrigo's new album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' is expected to release June 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' has not been released by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
 
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets,

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Olivia Rodrigo's new album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' is expected to release June 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'you seem pre"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $242
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.32)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 19, 2026): Vol $68
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 19, 2026): Vol $78
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 19, 2026): Vol $68
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 19, 2026): Vol $68
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be less than 200k?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 19, 2026): Vol $338
  DATA: [Yes: 7.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.3% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 250k and 300k?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 19, 2026): Vol $72
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 200k and 250k?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 19, 2026): Vol $353
  DATA: [Yes: 8.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture