Atlanta vs Miami: First Half BTTS
K 301.31 contracts
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1
Atlanta vs Miami: First Half BTTS
K 301.31 contracts
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 301.31 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
About This Event
ATL vs MIA (Oct 17) If Atlanta and Miami both score a goal in the 1st Half of the Atlanta vs Miami MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only goals scored during the 1st Half count for the purposes of this market. Own goals count towards the team awarded the goal. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-17T03:00:06.448Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The contract is a Kalshi market titled "Both teams score in the 1st Half?" within the event "Atlanta vs Miami: First Half BTTS" [1]. According to the rules excerpt, "If Atlanta and Miami both score a goal in the 1st Half of the Atlanta vs Miami MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes." The rules also state that "Only goals scored during the 1st Half count for the purposes of this market" and that "Own goals count towards the team awarded the goal" [1]. Because the match is described as "originally scheduled," the reader should not assume from this source alone when or whether it was played.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-17T03:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-17T05:39:37Z [1]. It shows a Yes price of 0.31 and a No price of 0.69 [1]. These are observed snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. They should not be read as the current price at the time you are reading this.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record reports 1 total market, 1 included, and no partial sample [1]. Because only the Yes and No outcomes of this single contract are saved, there is no comparison set here and no cross-platform comparison. The supplied data does not include volume, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many traders are participating.
The market data lists an end date of 2026-10-19T23:30:00.000Z, while the source excerpt says "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. The contract also states that it "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1]. A listed end date is therefore not the same as a resolution time. The actual closing or resolution time depends on the match outcome and the platform's processing.
What remains uncertain
The supplied evidence does not show whether the match has been played, what the score was, or whether any market has resolved. It does not explain why the price is 0.31 or 0.69. It also does not confirm whether a provider listed other outcomes for this match, since the sample warning states that the providers may not list every possible real-world outcome [1]. Readers should check the provider's current listing and rules before relying on this contract's terms.
References
- Kalshi: Atlanta vs Miami: First Half BTTS. Provider data observed 2026-10-17T03:00:06.448Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a sports contract on a Major League Soccer match between Atlanta and Miami, titled "Atlanta vs Miami: First Half BTTS" and listed on Kalshi [1]. BTTS stands for both teams to score. The contract asks whether both Atlanta and Miami score a goal during the first half of the match. The provider's rules say the market resolves to Yes if both teams score in the first half, and it describes the match as originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 [1]. The rules also say the market will close and expire early if that event occurs [1]. The contract is narrow. Only goals scored in the first half count [1]. Own goals are credited to the team awarded the goal, so an own goal by one side can count toward the other side's scoring for this market [1]. Goals scored after the first half do not count toward this contract [1]. The saved snapshot shows the Yes outcome at 0.31 and the No outcome at 0.69 [1]. The observation time for that snapshot is 2026-10-17T03:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-17T05:39:37Z [1]. These figures describe what the provider reported at that moment. They are not an executable quote, a verified probability, or a current reading. The contract's end date field reads 2026-10-19T23:30:00Z, but that is a field in the contract data and should not be read as the date of an announced event or the actual match time [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single, specific soccer outcome: whether both teams score in the first half of one listed match. Its usefulness as a reference comes from its wording. Because it is limited to first-half goals and to these two teams, it does not reflect the full-match result or any other match [1]. Readers should check the rules for how own goals and early expiry work before interpreting the contract [1]. The price is a snapshot from one provider at one time. A price of 0.31 for Yes means the market was trading at that level in the saved observation, but it does not establish how likely the outcome is, and the single figure does not show how many participants traded or how deep the market was [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What must happen for this market to resolve to Yes?
Both Atlanta and Miami must score a goal during the first half of the match. Only first-half goals count, and own goals are credited to the team awarded the goal [1].
Do goals scored after the first half count?
No. The rules state that only goals scored during the first half count for this market [1].
Does the price shown mean the outcome is 31 percent likely?
Not necessarily. The figure is a provider snapshot taken at a specific time, and the source presents it as a market price rather than a verified probability [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
