XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
PM $0
1
1
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of XRP, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair XRP/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T15:00:05.977Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract covers the XRP price over a five-minute window, from 6:40 AM to 6:45 AM ET on October 27. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of XRP, generated by Chainlink, over that range is "greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range." Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the XRP/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair XRP/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A contract on another exchange, index, or spot feed could settle differently, so comparisons should use the same rule set.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 15:00 UTC on October 26, 2026, and retrieved at 16:36 UTC the same day [1]. It shows one market with two outcomes: "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices from that observation time, not current prices, executable quotes, or verified probabilities. The two prices sum to 1.00 in this snapshot, but that does not establish a tradable price for either side.
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T10:45:00.000Z, and the provider reported the status as active at retrieval [1]. The contract title and rules use Eastern time, while the listed end time is in UTC, so readers comparing the two should convert carefully. The saved data does not include volume, depth, or the number of participants, so it says nothing about liquidity.
Because this event contains only one market, no other contract in the snapshot can be compared with it. Companion contracts for other windows would have their own rules and close times and should not be treated as the same question.
What remains uncertain
The snapshot does not explain why prices sit near even odds, and it does not show how prices changed before or after the observation time. The evidence contains no news, no trading history, and no information about how well similar markets have forecast outcomes. The saved data also does not show whether the price has moved since 15:00 UTC on October 26. Anyone reading this after the listed close should check the provider's resolution record rather than relying on this snapshot. The provider lists all saved markets for this event, but that does not establish that every possible outcome is listed.
References
- Polymarket: XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T15:00:05.977Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term price contract on Polymarket titled "XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET" [1]. The contract is about the price of XRP in U.S. dollars over a five-minute window. Its rules state that it will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of XRP, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The contract therefore compares an average price across the window with the price at the window's start, rather than comparing the price at the end with the price at the start. The resolution source is Chainlink's XRP/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules specify that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream for the XRP/USD pair, and not prices from other sources or spot markets [1]. This matters because a trader reading a price on another exchange or data feed could see a different figure than the one that determines the outcome. The listing in the saved source shows two outcomes, "Up" and "Down", and a listed end time of 2026-10-27T10:45:00.000Z [1]. The end time is the contract's listed closing time. The source does not state when the outcome is published, so this entry does not treat the listed end time as an announced resolution date.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the average XRP/USD price in the Chainlink TWAP data stream over the 6:40 to 6:45 AM ET window on October 27 is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. It is a narrow question about one short interval and one data stream. Because the rules fix both the averaging method and the reference data, the outcome depends on that specific feed rather than on general market reports about XRP. Readers should treat the contract as a rule-defined comparison and not as a forecast of where XRP will trade.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this contract resolve to Up?
The contract resolves to "Up" if the TWAP of XRP from Chainlink over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What happens if the average equals the starting price?
Under the rules, an average that is equal to the starting price still counts as "Up", because the condition is greater than or equal to [1].
Which price data does the contract use?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules say the market is not based on other sources or spot markets [1].
Does the listed end time mean the outcome is published then?
The source lists an end time of 2026-10-27T10:45:00.000Z for the contract [1]. The source does not describe when the outcome is published, so the listed end time should be read only as the contract's closing time.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
PM $0XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
PM $0XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
PM $0XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
PM $0
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
PM $0
ZCash Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.