Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
K 167.88 contracts
1
3
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
K 167.88 contracts
1
3
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 5, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Maccabi Tel Aviv at 80.5%.
Kalshi
- Maccabi Tel Aviv80.5%
- Tie12.5%
- Maccabi Petah Tikva6.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 167.88 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 5, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
MTA vs MPT (Nov 6) If X wins the Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah Tikva professional Israeli Premier League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah Tikva professional Israeli Premier League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-03T06:00:06.021Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved Kalshi event covers a Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah Tikva match described as a "professional Israeli Premier League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026" [1]. The rules count the result after "90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties" [1]. This matters for reading the prices: a team that wins after extra time or a penalty shootout would not satisfy the win contracts on these terms.
The three markets use different wording. "Maccabi Tel Aviv wins" and "Maccabi Petah Tikva wins" each resolve to Yes if that team wins under the rules above. "Tie is the result" resolves to Yes if the game ends in a tie [1]. The rules also say that if the game is "cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules" [1]. A reader should check that clause before relying on any single contract.
The listed contract end date for all three markets is 2026-11-08T12:00:00.000Z. The source excerpt separately states "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. The end date is therefore a contract field, not a confirmed match or announcement date, and it does not establish when the game will be played.
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation is timestamped 2026-11-03T06:00:06.021Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-11-03T07:49:35.072Z [1]. These are the only price readings in the evidence. They describe the saved snapshot, not live quotes or current conditions.
In that snapshot, the Yes price for Maccabi Tel Aviv wins was 0.8, the Tie Yes price was 0.115, and the Maccabi Petah Tikva Yes price was 0.07 [1]. These are snapshot prices for three separate contracts. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. Because the three Yes prices are for different outcomes, they should be read side by side, not averaged or treated as a single forecast.
The coverage record shows all three markets for this event were included, with no partial sample [1]. The selection note says the sample includes all saved markets for this event, but "This does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Volume data was not included, so nothing can be said about liquidity or the number of traders.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why any price was where it was, and it contains no news about the match, team status, or venue. It also does not confirm whether the game is still scheduled for November 6, 2026. Readers should check the provider's current status, which was recorded as "active" at the time of the snapshot [1], before drawing conclusions.
References
- Kalshi: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah Tikva. Provider data observed 2026-11-03T06:00:06.021Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 3, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract concerns a scheduled professional soccer match between Maccabi Tel Aviv and Maccabi Petah Tikva in the Israeli Premier League. The contract rules describe the game as originally scheduled for November 6, 2026, and the outcome is judged after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are not included [1]. The event is listed on Kalshi, which states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, or endorsed by the governing league [1]. The saved event includes three markets. One asks whether Maccabi Tel Aviv wins, one asks whether Maccabi Petah Tikva wins, and one asks whether the game ends in a tie. Under the rules, the market called Tie resolves to Yes if the game ends level after 90 minutes plus stoppage time [1]. The win markets follow the same regulation-time basis. The contract also states that the market will close and expire after a winner is declared [1]. The rules also cover disruption. If the game is cancelled, or is rescheduled to a time more than 48 hours away, the market resolves to a fair price under the rules rather than to a winner [1]. This matters because a rescheduled match may not produce a standard win or tie result on the original terms. The provider status for the event is listed as active, but the source does not supply a listed end time for the event [1]. The contract data also shows an end date of November 8, 2026 for each market. That date is a contract closing field in the saved data. It is not evidence that the match was played on that date, and it does not establish the match result. Prices for each market are snapshots taken from the provider data. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of any outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the result of one match under defined rules. It asks whether Maccabi Tel Aviv wins, whether Maccabi Petah Tikva wins, or whether the game ends in a tie, with each judged after 90 minutes plus stoppage time [1]. Because extra time and penalties are excluded, a match that is level after regulation resolves to the tie market rather than being decided by a later stage [1]. The rules also show how a contract handles a match that does not finish as scheduled. A cancellation or a rescheduling beyond 48 hours leads to a fair price settlement under the rules instead of a standard winner determination [1]. Anyone reading a price should keep these conditions in mind, since the stated outcome categories depend on the specific wording of the rules. The clubs are described in the supplied background as an Israeli professional football club from Tel Aviv, part of Maccabi Tel Aviv Sport Club [2], and as a Haifa-based club that plays in the Israeli Premier League [3]. The background does not describe the Maccabi Petah Tikva club, so this article does not add detail on that side of the match.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-03 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Does extra time or a penalty shootout count toward the result?
No. The contract rules state that the game is judged after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and does not include extra time or penalties [1].
What happens if the match ends in a tie?
The market called Tie resolves to Yes if the game ends in a tie [1].
What happens if the match is cancelled or rescheduled?
If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules [1].
Is the market connected to the league that runs the match?
The listing states that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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