Ethereum above ___ on October 23, 9PM ET?
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16
Ethereum above ___ on October 23, 9PM ET?
PM $0
1
16
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 24, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 2,350 at 97.9%.
Polymarket
- 2,35097.9%
- 2,36097.5%
- 2,37095.5%
- 2,34050.5%
- 2,33050.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
16
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-24T00:00:06.197Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This event asks whether the Binance ETH/USDT price will be above a stated level at a specific time. The source says the market "will resolve to 'Yes' if the 'Close' price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title" [1]. Each strike is a separate contract with its own threshold, so the strikes are not interchangeable.
The source also states that the market "is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs" [1]. Prices on other venues or pairs would not settle these contracts. The listed end time is "2026-10-24T01:00:00.000Z" [1], and the provider status at retrieval was "active" [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-24T00:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-24T00:47:39Z [1]. These are snapshots, not executable quotes, and they do not show the current state of the market. The listed end time falls roughly 13 minutes after the retrieval time, but the evidence contains no later data.
The sample is partial. The provider event has 16 markets, and 12 are included [1]. The included set is ordered by Yes price, then volume, so the four omitted markets are not shown and their prices are unknown from this evidence.
Among the included thresholds, Yes prices were 0.979 at 2,350, 0.975 at 2,360, and 0.955 at 2,370. The 2,340 through 2,300 thresholds all showed Yes at 0.505. Yes prices then fell to 0.35 at 2,390, 0.09 at 2,400, 0.031 at 2,420, and 0.026 at 2,430 [1]. The repeated 0.505 values are reported as they appear. The evidence does not explain them.
Volume is not liquidity or a trader count, and the evidence provides no trader counts. Differences between strikes are differences in contract terms, not arbitrage opportunities.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show why prices sit where they do, whether they have changed since retrieval, or how the contracts will settle. It also does not show the prices of the four omitted markets. Only one source is supplied, so no cross-platform comparison is possible.
References
- Polymarket: Ethereum above ___ on October 23, 9PM ET?. Provider data observed 2026-10-24T00:00:06.197Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 24, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term crypto contract that asks whether the Ethereum price on Binance will be above a set level at a specific time. The contract is titled "Ethereum above ___ on October 23, 9PM ET?" and is listed on Polymarket in the crypto category [1]. Each threshold in the event is its own binary market. The provider lists the event as active with a listed end time of 2026-10-24T01:00:00.000Z [1]. The contract rules say that the market resolves to "Yes" if the "Close" price of the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends at the time and date in the title is higher than the price in the title. Otherwise it resolves to "No" [1]. The rules tie the outcome to the closing price of a single candle, not to the highest or lowest price during the hour, and they do not depend on other exchanges or trading pairs [1]. The resolution source is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices shown on its trading page with the 1h candle view selected [1]. The rules state that price precision follows the number of decimal places in that source [1]. The provider's status for the event at the time of the saved record was active [1]. The market data in this entry comes from a saved provider observation made at 2026-10-24T00:00:06.197Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-24T00:47:38.573Z [1]. The observation time, the retrieval time, the listed contract end time, and the actual resolution are different things. The listed end time describes when the candle closes under the contract rules. It does not show how the contract has resolved, and the evidence here does not include a resolution. The saved sample includes 12 of the 16 markets in the event, so it is partial. Within that sample, the thresholds run from 2,300 to 2,430, and the Yes prices at the observation time range from 0.026 to 0.979 [1]. These are provider snapshots of prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. A higher Yes price at a lower threshold reflects how the saved market was priced at that moment, not a forecast of where Ethereum will close.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Binance ETH/USDT closing price for one specific 1 hour candle finishes above a stated threshold [1]. Each threshold in the event is a separate market, so the event shows how the saved prices differ across levels, but each market has its own binary rule [1]. Because resolution depends on one exchange's candle close at one time, the rules make the exact source and time central to how the contract is read [1]. A price in the saved record reflects a market snapshot and does not show the eventual Binance close [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-24 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes outcome mean for this contract?
The market resolves to Yes if the Close price of the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle ending at the time in the title is higher than the price in the title [1].
Which price source decides the outcome?
The resolution source is Binance, using the ETH/USDT Close prices on its trading page with the 1h candle view selected. Prices on other exchanges or trading pairs are not used for this contract [1].
Are the prices shown here probabilities or guaranteed odds?
The saved prices are market snapshots from a provider observation, not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
Does the saved record show every market in the event?
No. The record includes 12 of 16 markets in the event, so it is a partial sample [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.