Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Uruguayan Primera División: Teams relegated (2026)

Name: Uruguayan Primera División: Teams relegated (2026)
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$7.16K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Uruguayan Primera División: Teams relegated (2026)

Vol

$7.16K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $7.16K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.16K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Will Progreso be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Progreso be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?	Poly	85%
Will Danubio be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?	Poly	62%
Will Montevideo Wanderers be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?	Poly	54%
Will Cerro be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?	Poly	49%
Will Albion be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?	Poly	28%
Will Nacional be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?	Poly	13%
Will Central Español be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?	Poly	11%
Will Cerro Largo be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?	Poly	8%
Will Defensor Sporting be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?	Poly	5%
Will Peñarol be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?	Poly	4%
Will Juventud (Las Piedras) be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?	Poly	3%
Will Liverpool FC (Montevideo) be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?	Poly	3%
Will Boston River be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?	Poly	3%
Will Montevideo City Torque be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?	Poly	3%
Will Deportivo Maldonado be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?	Poly	3%
Will Racing Club de Montevideo be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

85%

Top Probability

$7.16K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Uruguayan Primera División at the conclusion of the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Uruguayan Primera División for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Uruguayan Primera Divis

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Uruguayan Primera División: Teams relegated (2026)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (82 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Uruguayan Primera División at the conclusion of the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Uruguayan Primera División for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Uruguayan Primera Divis

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Uruguayan Primera División at the conclusion of the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Uruguayan Primera División for"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.1K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.31)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Nacional be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Peñarol be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $300
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Danubio be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $450
  DATA: [Yes: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Defensor Sporting be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $122
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Racing Club de Montevideo be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Montevideo Wanderers be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $574
  DATA: [Yes: 54.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.7% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Liverpool FC (Montevideo) be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $82
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Boston River be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $937
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Cerro Largo be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $64
  DATA: [Yes: 8.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.7% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Progreso be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 84.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.2% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Cerro be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $380
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Juventud (Las Piedras) be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $101
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.8% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Montevideo City Torque be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $129
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Albion be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Central Español be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Deportivo Maldonado be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $354
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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